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We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

In mathematical population genetics, it is well known that one can represent the genealogy of a population by a tree, which indicates how the ancestral lines of individuals in the population coalesce as they are traced back in time. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Götz Kersting , Jason Schweinsberg , Anton Wakolbinger

Coalescents with multiple collisions (also called Lambda-coalescents or simple exchangeable coalescents) are used as models of genealogies. We study a new class of Markovian coalescent processes connected to a population model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-02 Clément Foucart

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

Gene trees are evolutionary trees representing the ancestry of genes sampled from multiple populations. Species trees represent populations of individuals -- each with many genes -- splitting into new populations or species. The coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-30 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

We introduce a class of Markov coalescent processes on the continuous $d$-dimensional torus, in the most general setting of simultaneous multiple mergers, called the Brownian spatial coalescent. It is axiomatically defined through a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Peter Koepernik

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

We study coalescent processes conditional on the population pedigree under the exchangeable diploid bi-parental population model of \citet{BirknerEtAl2018}. While classical coalescent models average over all reproductive histories, thereby…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Frederic Alberti , Matthias Birkner , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake

We consider catalytic branching populations. They consist of a catalyst population evolving according to a critical binary branching process in continuous time with a constant branching rate and a reactant population with a branching rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andreas Greven , Lea Popovic , Anita Winter

(Multi-type) branching processes are a natural and well-studied model for generating random infinite trees. Branching processes feature both nondeterministic and probabilistic branching, generalizing both transition systems and Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Stefan Kiefer , Pavel Semukhin , Cas Widdershoven

We provide new connections between multitype $\Lambda$-coalescents and multitype continuous state branching processes via duality and a homeomorphism on their parameter space. The approach is based on a sequential sampling procedure for the…

We study the multi-type Cannings population model. Each individual has a type belonging to a given at most countable type space $E$. The population is hence divided into $|E|$ subpopulations. The subpopulation sizes are assumed to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Maximilian Flamm , Martin Möhle

Kingman's coalescent is a widely used process to model sample genealogies in population genetics. Recently there have been studies on the inference of quantities related to the genealogy of additional individuals given a known sample. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Linglong Yuan

The multi-species coalescent provides an elegant theoretical framework for estimating species trees and species demographics from genetic markers. Practical applications of the multi-species coalescent model are, however, limited by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-09 David Bryant , Remco Bouckaert , Joseph Felsenstein , Noah Rosenberg , Arindam RoyChoudhury

We consider the long-term behaviour of critical multitype branching processes conditioned on non-extinction, both with respect to the forward and the ancestral processes. Forward in time, we prove a functional limit theorem in the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Vitali Wachtel