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We present a general framework for applying machine-learning algorithms to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of these techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive exploration of the…

We study the performance of machine learning binary classification techniques in terms of error probabilities. The statistical test is based on the Data-Driven Decision Function (D3F), learned in the training phase, i.e., what is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Augusto Aubry , Antonio De Maio , Peter Willett

Boltzmann-Sanov and Cramer-Chernoff's theorems provide large deviation probabilities, entropy, and rate functions for the spatial distribution of systems and the total internal energy of an ensemble respectively. By the method of Lagrange's…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-17 D. P. Shinde

In the framework of Harnack type Dirichlet forms, we prove a large deviation principle for the asymptotics of reversible Markov processes with rate function given by the energy of the paths.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-28 Ann-Kathrin Jarecki

We consider the problem of statistical inference in a parametric finite Markov chain model and develop a robust estimator of the parameters defining the transition probabilities via minimization of a suitable (empirical) version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Abhik Ghosh

Many networking-related settings can be modeled by Markov-modulated infinite-server systems. In such models, the customers' arrival rates and service rates are modulated by a Markovian background process, additionally, there are infinitely…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Joke Blom , Koen De Turck , Michel Mandjes

In this paper we consider the convergence of the conditional entropy to the entropy rate for Markov chains. Convergence of certain statistics of long range dependent processes, such as the sample mean, is slow. It has been shown in Carpio…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

In this paper we study empirical measures which can be thought as a decoupled version of the empirical measures generated by random matrices. We prove the large deviation principle with the rate function, which is finite only on product…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodek Bryc

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular algorithm for minimizing objective functions that arise in machine learning. For constant step-sized SGD, the iterates form a Markov chain on a general state space. Focusing on a class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-26 David Shirokoff , Philip Zaleski

In this paper we establish a large deviation principle for the entropy production rate of possible non-stationary, centered stable Gauss-Markov chains, verifying the Gallavotti-Cohen symmetry. We reach this goal by developing a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo , Massimiliano Semeraro

The Horton-Strahler analysis is a graph-theoretic method to measure the bifurcation complexity of branching patterns, by defining a number called the order to each branch. The main result of this paper is a large deviation theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Ken Yamamoto

The article is devoted to the estimation of the rate of convergence of integral functionals of a Markov process. Under the assumption that the given Markov process admits a transition probability density which is differentiable in $t$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 I. Ganychenko , V. Knopova , A. Kulik

Markov decision processes (MDPs) describe sequential decision-making processes; MDP policies return for every state in that process an advised action. Classical algorithms can efficiently compute policies that are optimal with respect to,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Roman Andriushchenko , Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges , Filip Macák

Quantum trajectories are Markov processes modeling the evolution of a quantum system subjected to repeated independent measurements. Under purification and irreducibility assumptions, these Markov processes admit a unique invariant measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Tristan Benoist , Jan-Luka Fatras , Clément Pellegrini

Value decomposition has long been a fundamental technique in multi-agent dynamic programming and reinforcement learning (RL). Specifically, the value function of a global state $(s_1,s_2,\ldots,s_N)$ is often approximated as the sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Shuze Chen , Tianyi Peng

In \cite{FTD1}, we proved the almost sure convergence of eigenvalues of the SYK model, which can be viewed as a type of \emph{law of large numbers} in probability theory; in \cite{FTD2}, we proved that the linear statistic of eigenvalues…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-17 Renjie Feng , Gang Tian , Dongyi Wei

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

One of the main contributions of this paper is to illustrate how large deviation theory can be used to determine the equilibrium distribution of a basic droplet model that underlies a number of important models in material science and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Richard S. Ellis , Shlomo Ta'asan

We prove pathwise large deviation principles of slow variables in slow-fast systems in the limit of time-scale separation tending to infinity. In the limit regime we consider, the convergence of the slow variable to its deterministic limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Richard C. Kraaij , Mikola C. Schlottke

In this article, we prove a joint large deviation principle in $n$ for the \emph{empirical pair measure} and \emph{ empirical offspring measure} of critical multitype Galton-Watson trees conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices in the weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah