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We prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for posterior distributions arising from subfamilies of full exponential families, allowing misspecification of the model. Moreover, motivated by the so-called inverse Sanov Theorem (see e.g.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Claudio Macci , Mauro Piccioni

A basic result of large deviations theory is Sanov's theorem, which states that the sequence of empirical measures of independent and identically distributed samples satisfies the large deviation principle with rate function given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Markus Fischer

When an i.i.d.\ sequence of letters is cut into words according to i.i.d.\ renewal times, an i.i.d.\ sequence of words is obtained. In the \emph{annealed} LDP (large deviation principle) for the empirical process of words, the rate function…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Frank den Hollander , Julien Poisat

We recover the Donsker-Varadhan large deviations principle (LDP) for the empirical measure of a continuous time Markov chain on a countable (finite or infinite) state space from the joint LDP for the empirical measure and the empirical flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 L. Bertini , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

When we cut an i.i.d. sequence of letters into words according to an independent renewal process, we obtain an i.i.d. sequence of words. In the \emph{annealed} large deviation principle (LDP) for the empirical process of words, the rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Matthias Birkner , Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander

We study the large deviations of Markov chains under the sole assumption that the state space is discrete. In particular, we do not require any of the usual irreducibility and exponential tightness assumptions. Using subadditive arguments,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Léo Daures

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

Letting~$N=\left\{N(t), t\geq0\right\}$ be a standard Poisson process, Stroock~ \cite{Stroock-1981} constructed a family of continuous processes by $$\Theta_{\epsilon}(t)=\int_0^t\theta_{\epsilon}(r)dr, \ \ \ \ \ 0 \le t \le 1,$$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hui Jiang , Lihu Xu , Qingshan Yang

We consider the maximum entropy Markov chain inference approach to characterize the collective statistics of neuronal spike trains, focusing on the statistical properties of the inferred model. We review large deviations techniques useful…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-15 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado , Fernando Rosas

The large deviations principle for the empirical measure for both continuous and discrete time Markov processes is well known. Various expressions are available for the rate function, but these expressions are usually as the solution to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Paul Dupuis , Yufei Liu

Let $A$ be a transition probability kernel on a finite state space $\Delta^o =\{1, \ldots , d\}$ such that $A(x,y)>0$ for all $x,y \in \Delta^o$. Consider a reinforced chain given as a sequence $\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Amarjit Budhiraja , Adam Waterbury

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space. We prove a joint large deviation principle (LDP) of the empirical measure and current in the limit of large time interval. The proof is based on results on the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-02 L. Bertini , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-19 A. Faggionato

We establish the large deviation principle for a topological Markov shift over infinite alphabet which satisfies strong combinatorial assumptions called ``finite irreducibility'' or ``finite primitiveness''. More precisely, we assume the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Hiroki Takahasi

We consider a family of continuous time symmetric random walks indexed by $k\in \mathbb{N}$, $\{X_k(t),\,t\geq 0\}$. For each $k\in \mathbb{N}$ the matching random walk take values in the finite set of states…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Artur O. Lopes , Adriana Neumann

We study the large deviations principle for one dimensional, continuous, homogeneous, strong Markov processes that do not necessarily behave locally as a Wiener process. Any strong Markov process $X_{t}$ in $\mathbb{R}$ that is continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-19 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

We consider discrete time Markov chains with Polish state space. The large deviations principle for empirical measures of a Markov chain can equivalently be stated in Laplace principle form, which builds on the convex dual pair of relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Stephan Eckstein
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