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A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Temporal-difference (TD) learning is widely regarded as one of the most popular algorithms in reinforcement learning (RL). Despite its widespread use, it has only been recently that researchers have begun to actively study its finite time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Han-Dong Lim , Donghwan Lee

The probability distribution p(l) of an atom to return to a step at distance l from the detachment site, with a random walk in between, is exactly enumerated. In particular, we study the dependence of p(l) on step roughness, presence of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-01-12 M. Bisani , W. Selke

One of the characteristic features of a stochastic process under resetting is that the probability density converges to a nonequilibrium stationary state (NESS). In addition, the approach to the stationary state exhibits a dynamical phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-01 Paul C Bressloff

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

The reciprocal function, 1/x, is important for many real-time algorithms. It is used in a large variety of algorithms from areas ranging from iterative estimation to machine learning. Many of these algorithms are iterative in nature and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Michael Lunglmayr , Oliver Ploder

We show a methodology for the computation of the probability of deadline miss for a periodic real-time task scheduled by a resource reservation algorithm. We propose a modelling technique for the system that reduces the computation of such…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Luca Abeni , Bernardo Villalba Frías

We study, in d-dimensions, the random walker with geometrically shrinking step sizes at each hop. We emphasize the integrated quantities such as expectation values, cumulants and moments rather than a direct study of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Tonguc Rador

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

After a quick review of superpositions of OU (supOU) processes, integrated sup\-OU processes and the supOU stochastic volatility model we estimate these processes by using the generalized method of moments (GMM). We show that the GMM…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-26 Robert Stelzer , Thomas Tosstorff , Marc Wittlinger

We look into the problem of stochastic resetting with refractory periods. The model dynamics comprises diffusive and motionless phases. The diffusive phase ends at random time instants, at which the system is reset to a given position --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-26 Gregorio García-Valladares , Deepak Gupta , Antonio Prados , Carlos A. Plata

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

For random maps, the expected value of the order (i.e. the period of the sequence of compositional iterates) is approximated asymptotically. It is much smaller than the expected value for the product of the cycle lengths.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Eric Schmutz

This paper describes the probabilistic behaviour of a random Sturmian word. It performs the probabilistic analysis of the recurrence function which can be viewed as a waiting time to discover all the factors of length $n$ of the Sturmian…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-10-06 Pablo Rotondo , Brigitte Vallee

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

Processive molecular motors take more-or-less uniformly sized steps, along spatially periodic tracks, mostly forwards but increasingly backwards under loads. Experimentally, the major steps can be resolved clearly within the noise but one…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-18 Denis Tsygankov , Martin Lindén , Michael E. Fisher

We present a continuous time generalization of a random walk with complete memory of its history [Phys. Rev. E 70, 045101(R) (2004)] and derive exact expressions for the first four moments of the distribution of displacement when the number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francis N. C. Paraan , J. P. Esguerra

The idea that memory behavior relies on a gradually-changing internal state has a long history in mathematical psychology. This chapter traces this line of thought from statistical learning theory in the 1950s, through distributed memory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-07 Marc W. Howard

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We study rate of convergence of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia