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Let be $X(t)= x - \mu t + \sigma B_t - N_t$ a L$\acute{\text{e}}$vy process starting from $x >0,$ where $ \mu \ge 0, \ \sigma \ge 0, \ B_t$ is a standard BM, and $N_t$ is a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity $ \theta >0,$ starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Mario Abundo , Sara Furia

Our purpose in this paper is to apply the general methodology for model selection based on T-estimators developed in Birg\'{e} [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} Probab. Statist. 42 (2006) 273--325] to the particular situation of the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lucien Birgé

Given any 1-random set $X$ and any $r\in(0,1)$, we construct a set of intrinsic density $r$ which is computable from $r\oplus X$. For almost all $r$, this set will be the first known example of an intrinsic density $r$ set which cannot…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Justin Miller

According to a theorem of S. Schumacher, for a diffusion X in an environment determined by a stable process that belongs to an appropriate class and has index a, it holds that X_t/(log t)^a converges in distribution, as t goes to infinity,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Dimitrios Cheliotis

The distribution of the first-passage time (FPT)$T_a$ for a Brownian particle with drift $\mu$ subject to hitting an absorber at a level $a>0$ is well-known and given by its density $\gamma(t) = \frac{a}{\sqrt{2 \pi t^3} } e^{-\frac{(a-\mu…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alain Mazzolo

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

An adapted, right-continuous, non-decreasing, integer-valued process with unit jumps and starting at zero has a minimal predictable intensity if and only if it is a standard Poisson process under an absolutely continuous transformation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Haoming Wang

Gaussian random fields on finite dimensional smooth manifolds whose variances reach their maximum value at smooth submanifolds are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of large excursion probabilities have been evaluated. Vector Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Sensitivity analysis of a numerical model, for instance simulating physical phenomena, is useful to quantify the influence of the inputs on the model responses. This paper proposes a new sensitivity index, based upon the modification of the…

Let $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a known process and $T$ an unknown random time independent of $X$. Our goal is to derive the distribution of $T$ based on an iid sample of $X_T$. Belomestny and Schoenmakers (2015) propose a solution based the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Viktor Schulmann

In the ballistic annihilation process, particles on the real line have independent speeds symmetrically distributed in $\{-1,0,+1\}$ and are annihilated by collisions. It is widely believed that there is a phase transition at $p=p_{\mathrm…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-24 John Haslegrave

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes , Tomasz Rolski

We consider a system of annihilating particles where particles start from the points of a Poisson process on either the full-line or positive half-line and move at constant i.i.d. speeds until collision. When two particles collide, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Vladas Sidoravicius , Laurent Tournier

This paper explores a class of empirical Bayes methods for level-dependent threshold selection in wavelet shrinkage. The prior considered for each wavelet coefficient is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

Motivated by the dynamics of resonant neurons we consider a differentiable, non-Markovian random process $x(t)$ and particularly the time after which it will reach a certain level $x_b$. The probability density of this first passage time is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Verechtchaguina , I. M. Sokolov , L. Schimansky-Geier

We consider a piecewise-deterministic Markov process governed by a jump intensity function, a rate function that determines the behaviour between jumps, and a stochastic kernel describing the conditional distribution of jump sizes. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

The probability density function for the visible sector of a Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine can be taken conditional on a subset of the visible units. We derive that the corresponding conditional density function is given by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-26 Stefano Carrazza , Daniel Krefl , Andrea Papaluca

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij