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Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We derive the sharp non-asymptotical uniform estimations for tails of distributions for classical normed sums of centered normed independent random vectors having a moderate decreasing individual tails of summands.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-08 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider random vectors $X$ that satisfy the equation in law $X=AX+B$, where $A$ is a given random diagonal matrix and $B$ a given random vector, both independent of $X$. It is well known by the works of Kesten and Goldie that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Ewa Damek , Sebastian Mentemeier

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We investigate the tail asymptotics of the supremum of X(t)+Y(t)-ct, where X={X(t),t\geq 0} and Y={Y(t),t\geq 0} are two independent stochastic processes. We assume that the process Y has subexponential characteristics and that the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bert Zwart , Sem Borst , Krzystof Debicki

We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-12-21 Rafal Weron

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

Let (RU_1, R U_2) be a given bivariate scale mixture random vector, with R>0 being independent of the bivariate random vector (U_1,U_2). In this paper we derive exact asymptotic expansions of the tail probability P{RU_1> x, RU_2> ax}, a \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

Accurately quantifying tail risks-rare but high-impact events such as financial crashes or extreme weather-is a central challenge in risk management, with serially dependent data. We develop a Bayesian framework based on the Generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We establish the one-to one bilateral interrelations between an asymptotic behavior for the tail of distributions for random variables and its great moments evaluation. Our results generalize the famous Richter's ones.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski