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We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Daniel Jacob

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

An empirical Bayes confidence interval has high user demand in many applications. In particular, the second-order empirical Bayes confidence interval, the coverage error of which is of the third order for large number of areas, is widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Masayo Y. Hirose

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

We present a simulation-based inference approach for two-stage estimators, focusing on extremum estimators in the second stage. We accommodate a broad range of first-stage estimators, including extremum estimators, high-dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Aristide Houndetoungan , Abdoul Haki Maoude

We review the alternative proposals introduced recently in the literature to update the standard formula to estimate the uncertainty on the mean of repeated measurements, and we compare their performances on synthetic examples with normal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-13 Pascal Pernot , Jean-Paul Berthet

We consider the problem of estimating a random state vector when there is information about the maximum distances between its subvectors. The estimation problem is posed in a Bayesian framework in which the minimum mean square error (MMSE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Dave Zachariah , Isaac Skog , Magnus Jansson , Peter Händel

Stochastic partial differential equations of second order with two unknown parameters are studied. Based on ergodicity, two suitable families of minimum constrast estimators are introduced. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Josef Janak

The paper proposes new second-order accuracy metrics for scoring or rating models, which show the target preference of the model, it is better to diagnose good objects or better to diagnose bad ones for a constant generally accepted…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-19 M. V. Pomazanov

Chirp signals are quite common in many natural and man-made systems like audio signals, sonar, radar etc. Estimation of the unknown parameters of a signal is a fundamental problem in statistical signal processing. Recently, Kundu and Nandi…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-05 Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Wei Li , Jiapeng Liu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Surveys are commonly used to facilitate research in epidemiology, health, and the social and behavioral sciences. Often, these surveys are not simple random samples, and respondents are given weights reflecting their probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

In situations where the sampling units in a study can be more easily ranked based on the measurement of an auxiliary variable, ranked set sampling provide unbiased estimators for the mean of a population that they are more efficient than…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

It is well known that accurate probabilistic predictors can be trained through empirical risk minimisation with proper scoring rules as loss functions. While such learners capture so-called aleatoric uncertainty of predictions, various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

In parameter estimation, assumptions about the model are typically considered which allow us to build optimal estimation methods under many statistical senses. However, it is usually the case where such models are inaccurately known or not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Adrià Gusi-Amigó , Pau Closas , Luc Vandendorpe

In large-scale modern data analysis, first-order optimization methods are usually favored to obtain sparse estimators in high dimensions. This paper performs theoretical analysis of a class of iterative thresholding based estimators defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Yiyuan She

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

This paper develops a bias correction scheme for a multivariate normal model under a general parameterization. In the model, the mean vector and the covariance matrix share the same parameters. It includes many important regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-06 Alexandre G. Patriota , Artur J. Lemonte

We consider machine learning techniques to develop low-latency approximate solutions to a class of inverse problems. More precisely, we use a probabilistic approach for the problem of recovering sparse stochastic signals that are members of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Steffen Limmer , Sławomir Stańczak