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We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is degenerate or low. More precisely, one is given access to a discrete time observation sequence which at any time $k$ depends only on the state of an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

An alternative to Monte Carlo techniques requiring large sampling times is presented here. Ideas from a genetic algorithm are used to select the best initial states from many independent, parallel Metropolis-Hastings iterations that are run…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-30 Thomas E. Baker

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

This paper studies the mixing time of certain adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Under some regularity conditions, we show that the convergence rate of Importance Resampling MCMC (IRMCMC) algorithm, measured in terms of the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Yves Atchadé , Yizao Wang

We prove that bootstrap type Monte Carlo particle filters approximate the optimal nonlinear filter in a time average sense uniformly with respect to the time horizon when the signal is ergodic and the particle system satisfies a tightness…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Ramon van Handel

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques rank among current state-of-the-art methods for probabilistic program inference. A drawback of these techniques is that they rely on importance resampling, which results in degenerate particle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-11 Jan-Willem van de Meent , Hongseok Yang , Vikash Mansinghka , Frank Wood

Stochastic approximation Monte Carlo (SAMC) has recently been proposed by Liang, Liu and Carroll [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 102 (2007) 305--320] as a general simulation and optimization algorithm. In this paper, we propose to improve its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Faming Liang

A Monte Carlo method to sample the classical configurational canonical ensemble is introduced. In contrast to the Metropolis algorithm, where trial moves can be rejected, in this approach collisions take place. The implementation is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-19 E. A. J. F. Peters , G. de With

We review the basic outline of the highly successful diffusion Monte Carlo technique commonly used in contexts ranging from electronic structure calculations to rare event simulation and data assimilation, and propose a new class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Lek-Heng Lim , Jonathan Weare

Many real-world problems require one to estimate parameters of interest, in a Bayesian framework, from data that are collected sequentially in time. Conventional methods for sampling from posterior distributions, such as {Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Jiangqi Wu , Linjie Wen , Peter L Green , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

The Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) algorithm is aimed at an optimal recycling of past simulations in an iterated importance sampling scheme. The difference with earlier adaptive importance sampling implementations like…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-04 Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Antonietta Mira , Christian P. Robert

Population control is an essential component of any projector Monte Carlo algorithm. This control mechanism usually introduces a bias in the sampled quantities that is inversely proportional to the population size. In this paper, we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Khaldoon Ghanem , Niklas Liebermann , Ali Alavi

Multivariate probit models (MPM) have the appealing feature of capturing some of the dependence structure between the components of multidimensional binary responses. The key for the dependence modelling is the covariance matrix of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

A first-order, Monte Carlo ensemble method has been recently introduced for solving parabolic equations with random coefficients in [26], which is a natural synthesis of the ensemble-based, Monte Carlo sampling algorithm and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang

The linked cell list algorithm is an essential part of molecular simulation software, both molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo. Though it scales linearly with the number of particles, there has been a constant interest in increasing its…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-19 Ulrich Welling , Guido Germano

Population annealing is an easily parallelizable sequential Monte Carlo algorithm that is well-suited for simulating the equilibrium properties of systems with rough free energy landscapes. In this work we seek to understand and improve the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-20 Chris Amey , Jon Machta

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

The entanglement entropy probing novel phases and phase transitions numerically via quantum Monte Carlo has made great achievements in large-scale interacting spin/boson systems. In contrast, the numerical exploration in interacting fermion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-15 Weilun Jiang , Gaopei Pan , Zhe Wang , Bin-Bin Mao , Heng Shen , Zheng Yan

We present a method which extends Monte Carlo studies to situations that require a large dynamic range in particle number. The underlying idea is that, in order to calculate the collisional evolution of a system, some particle interactions…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 C. W. Ormel , M. Spaans
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