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We propose a new model for forming beliefs and learning about unknown probabilities (such as the probability of picking a red marble from a bag with an unknown distribution of coloured marbles). The most widespread model for such situations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Alexandru Baltag , Soroush Rafiee Rad , Sonja Smets

Coulomb gases are special probability distributions, related to potential theory, that appear at many places in pure and applied mathematics and physics. In these short expository notes, we focus on some models, ideas, and structures. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Djalil Chafaï

Let $\mathcal{A}$ be a random set constructed by picking independently each element of $\{1, \dots, n\}$ with probability $\alpha \in (0, 1)$. We give a formula for the probability that a rational number $q$ belong to the random ratio set…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Carlo Sanna

The occurrence of Simpson's paradox (SP) in $2\times 2$ contingency tables has been well studied. The present work comprehensively revisits this problem using a combination of philosophical reflections, causal considerations, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Palash Sarkar , Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay

In 1686 in his Discours de Metaphysique, Leibniz points out that if an arbitrarily complex theory is permitted then the notion of "theory" becomes vacuous because there is always a theory. This idea is developed in the modern theory of…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. J. Chaitin

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

An Ising-type classical statistical ensemble can describe the quantum physics of fermions if one chooses a particular law for the time evolution of the probability distribution. It accounts for the time evolution of a quantum field theory…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 C. Wetterich

We discuss a connection between two areas of mathematics which until recently seemed to be rather distant from each other: (1) noncommutative harmonic analysis on groups and (2) some topics in probability theory related to random point…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexei Borodin , Grigori Olshanski

The two of us have shared a fascination with James Victor Uspensky's 1937 textbook $Introduction \, to \, Mathematical \, Probability$ ever since our graduate student days: it contains many interesting results not found in other books on…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Persi Diaconis , Sandy Zabell

Since their appearance in the 1950s, computational models capable of performing probabilistic choices have received wide attention and are nowadays pervasive in almost every areas of computer science. Their development was also inextricably…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Melissa Antonelli , Ugo Dal Lago , Paolo Pistone

Life forms exhibit such a degree of exquisite organization that it seems impossible that they could have developed out of a process of trial and error, as intimated by the theory of Darwinian evolution. In this general public paper I…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-08 Luca Peliti

Number theory as a coherent mathematical subject started with the work of Fermat in the decade from 1630 to 1640, but modern number theory, that is, the systematic and mathematically rigorous development of the subject from fundamental…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Steve Wright

In this report, the explicit probability density functions of the random Euclidean distances associated with equilateral triangles are given, when the two endpoints of a link are randomly distributed in 1) the same triangle, 2) two adjacent…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-07-04 Yanyan Zhuang , Jianping Pan

I discuss Ren{\'e} Thom's approach to philosophy based on his mathematical background. At the same time, I will highlight his connection with Aristotle, his criticism of the modern view of science as a predictive process, his ideas on…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Athanase Papadopoulos

Historically the fractional calculus concept works an extended idea based on the question asked by Guillaume de L'H\^opital to Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz in 1695 about the notation ${d^nf}/{dx^n}$ for the derivative operator "What if…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-07-08 J. J. A. de Oliveira , C. F. L. Godinho

The purpose of this paper is to give an introduction to the field of Schema Theory written by a mathematician and for mathematicians. In particular, we endeavor to to highlight areas of the field which might be of interest to a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-01 David White

The problem of relating the mathematics of probability theory to the empirical world of experiments has been debated for centuries. One of the oldest solutions proposed for this problem is a principle that states that an event with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Bruno Galvan

The University of Strasbourg, fundamentally humanistic since its creation, has a complicated history, being sometimes German, sometimes French through the ages. If one focus, from 1871, on the area of mathematics, we can identify two…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-10-16 D Huilier

Special relativity is most naturally formulated as a theory of space-time geometry, but within the space-time framework probability apears to be at best an epistemic notion - a matter of what can be known, not of the status of events in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Simon Saunders

This paper argues for the status of formal probability theory as a mathematical, rather than a scientific, theory. David Freedman and Philip Stark's concept of model based probabilities is examined and is used as a bridge between the formal…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Paul Humphreys
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