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Motivated by a condition monitoring application arising from subsea engineering we derive a novel, scalable approach to detecting anomalous mean structure in a subset of correlated multivariate time series. Given the need to analyse such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Martin Tveten , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

This paper is devoted to the off-line multiple change-point detection in a semiparametric framework. The time series is supposed to belong to a large class of models including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$),... models where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-04 Jean-Marc Bardet , William Chakry Kengne , Olivier Wintenberger

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

The assumption of independent subvectors arises in many aspects of multivariate analysis. In most real-world applications, however, we lack prior knowledge about the number of subvectors and the specific variables within each subvector.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Jan O. Bauer

Triangular systems with nonadditively separable unobserved heterogeneity provide a theoretically appealing framework for the modelling of complex structural relationships. However, they are not commonly used in practice due to the need for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Whitney Newey , Sami Stouli , Francis Vella

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the joint reconstruction and prediction of discrete time stochastic dynamical systems, based on $m$-multiple time-series data, perturbed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Christos Merkatas

In this paper, I propose a general procedure for multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing derived from the concept of ranks that are based upon measure transportation in the context of multiple change point analysis. I will use…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-08-30 Amanda Ng

Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

In the analysis of sequential data, the detection of abrupt changes is important in predicting future changes. In this paper, we propose statistical hypothesis tests for detecting covariance structure changes in locally smooth time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-10 Jiyeon Han , Kyowoon Lee , Anh Tong , Jaesik Choi

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

In the domain of rotating machinery, bearings are vulnerable to different mechanical faults, including ball, inner, and outer race faults. Various techniques can be used in condition-based monitoring, from classical signal analysis to deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-26 Victoria Jorry , Zina-Sabrina Duma , Tuomas Sihvonen , Satu-Pia Reinikainen , Lassi Roininen

This paper studies high-dimensional trend inference for piecewise smooth signals under nonstationary noise and asynchronous structural breaks by first detecting asynchronous changes without assuming stationarity and then further exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Lujia Bai , David Veitch , Weichi Wu , Wenyang Zhang , Zhou Zhou

We investigate testing of the hypothesis of independence between a covariate and the marks in a marked point process. It would be rather straightforward if the (unmarked) point process were independent of the covariate and the marks. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-16 Jiří Dvořák , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jonatan González

A key step in mechanistic modelling of dynamical systems is to conduct a structural identifiability analysis. This entails deducing which parameter combinations can be estimated from a given set of observed outputs. The standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Johannes G Borgqvist , Alexander P Browning , Fredrik Ohlsson , Ruth E Baker

Causal analysis based on non-uniform embedding schemes is an important way to detect the underlying interactions between dynamic systems. However, there are still some obstacles to estimate high-dimensional conditional mutual information…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ziyu Jia , Youfang Lin , Zehui Jiao , Yan Ma , Jing Wang

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Due to the increasing complexity and interconnectedness of different components in modern automotive software systems there is a great number of interactions between these system components and their environment. These interactions result…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić , Thorben Knust , Andreas Rausch
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