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We introduce a new property of Markov chains, called variance bounding. We prove that, for reversible chains at least, variance bounding is weaker than, but closely related to, geometric ergodicity. Furthermore, variance bounding is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We study geometric ergodicity of the Gibbs sampler for linear latent non-Gaussian models (LLnGMs), a class of hierarchical models in which conditional Gaussian structure is preserved through generalized inverse Gaussian (GIG)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

In this letter we announce rigorous results that elucidate the relation between metastable states and low-lying eigenvalues in Markov chains in a much more general setting and with considerable greater precision as was so far available.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

We apply Doeblin's ergodicity coefficient as a computational tool to approximate the occupancy distribution of a set of states in a homogeneous but possibly non-stationary finite Markov chain. Our approximation is based on new properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Stephen Chestnut , Manuel Lladser

A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

In this article, relying on Foster-Lyapunov drift conditions, we establish subexponential upper and lower bounds on the rate of convergence in the $\mathrm{L}^p$-Wasserstein distance for a class of irreducible and aperiodic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Nikola Sandrić

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

The paper is devoted to the estimation of the rate of of exponential convergence of nonhomogeneous queues exhibiting different types of ergodicity. The main tool of our study is the method, which was proposed by the second author in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Boris L. Granovsky , Aleksandr I. Zeifman

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

In this paper we investigate the continuum limits of a class of Markov chains. The investigation of such limits is motivated by the desire to model very large networks. We show that under some conditions, a sequence of Markov chains…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-06-22 Yang Zhang , Edwin K. P. Chong , Jan Hannig , Donald Estep

The general limit distributions of the sum of random variables described by a finite matrix product ansatz are characterized. Using a mapping to a Hidden Markov Chain formalism, non-standard limit distributions are obtained, and related to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-24 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We study a class of dynamical systems generated by random substitutions, which contains both intrinsically ergodic systems and instances with several measures of maximal entropy. In this class, we show that the measures of maximal entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Philipp Gohlke , Andrew Mitchell

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

We provide a characterisation of the continuous-time Markov models where the Markov matrices from the model can be parameterised directly in terms of the associated rate matrices (generators). That is, each Markov matrix can be expressed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Luke Cooper , Jeremy Sumner

We determine the convergence speed of a numerical scheme for approximating one-dimensional continuous strong Markov processes. The scheme is based on the construction of coin tossing Markov chains whose laws can be embedded into the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

General characterizations of ergodic Markov chains have been developed in considerable detail. In this paper, we study the transience for discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, including the geometric transience and algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Yong-Hua Mao , Yan-Hong Song

We prove that under mild positivity assumptions the entropy rate of a hidden Markov chain varies analytically as a function of the underlying Markov chain parameters. A general principle to determine the domain of analyticity is stated. An…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-13 Guangyue Han , Brian Marcus

We prove that an irreducible aperiodic Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if and only if any separately bounded functional of the stationary chain satisfies an appropriate subgaussian deviation inequality from its mean.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel

We formulate a criterion for the existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure for a Markov process taking values in a Polish phase space. In addition, weak-$^*$ ergodicity, that is, the weak convergence of the ergodic averages of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-19 Tomasz Komorowski , Szymon Peszat , Tomasz Szarek