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We propose small area estimators of general indicators in off-census years, which avoid the use of deprecated census microdata, but are nearly optimal in census years. The procedure is based on replacing the obsolete census file with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

This paper investigates the minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimation of x, given the observation y = Hx+n, when x and n are independent and Gaussian Mixture (GM) distributed. The introduction of GM distributions, represents a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-18 John T. Flam , Saikat Chatterjee , Kimmo Kansanen , Torbjorn Ekman

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Bagging can significantly improve the generalization performance of unstable machine learning algorithms such as trees or neural networks. Though bagging is now widely used in practice and many empirical studies have explored its behavior,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Martin Mihelich , Charles Dognin , Yan Shu , Michael Blot

A novel approach to improve prediction and inference in M-estimation by integrating external information from heterogeneous populations is proposed. Our method leverages joint asymptotics to combine estimates from external and internal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Walter Dempsey , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

In this article, a study of the mean-square error (MSE) performance of linear echo-state neural networks is performed, both for training and testing tasks. Considering the realistic setting of noise present at the network nodes, we derive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-28 Romain Couillet , Gilles Wainrib , Harry Sevi , Hafiz Tiomoko Ali

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 C. Goga , A Ruiz-Gazen

In Small Area Estimation data linkage can be used to combine values of the variableof interest from a national survey with values of auxiliary variables obtained from another source like a population register. Linkage errors can induce bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Ray Chambers , Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati

We consider the problem of sequentially learning to estimate, in the mean squared error (MSE) sense, a Gaussian $K$-vector of unknown covariance by observing only $m < K$ of its entries in each round. We propose two MSE estimators, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Dipayan Sen , Aditya Gopalan

The weak convergence of the quantile processes, which are constructed based on different estimators of the finite population quantiles, is shown under various well-known sampling designs based on a superpopulation model. The results related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

Several well known estimators of finite population mean and its functions are investigated under some standard sampling designs. Such functions of mean include the variance, the correlation coefficient and the regression coefficient in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Mutual information is a general statistical dependency measure which has found applications in representation learning, causality, domain generalization and computational biology. However, mutual information estimators are typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-17 Paweł Czyż , Frederic Grabowski , Julia E. Vogt , Niko Beerenwinkel , Alexander Marx

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

Imputation models sometimes use auxiliary variables that, though not part of the planned analysis, can improve the accuracy of imputed values and the efficiency of point estimates. A recent article, using evidence from simulations, argued…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-22 Paul von Hippel , Jamie Lynch

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Often, government agencies and survey organizations know the population counts or percentages for some of the variables in a survey. These may be available from auxiliary sources, for example, administrative databases or other high quality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-12 Olanrewaju Akande , Gabriel Madson , D. Sunshine Hillygus , Jerome P. Reiter