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This paper revisits the problem of estimating the fractional Ornstein - Uhlenbeck process observed in a linear channel with white noise of small intensity. We drive the exact asymptotic formulas for the mean square errors of the filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-20 M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych , P. Chigansky

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

The detection and estimation of signals in noisy, limited data is a problem of interest to many scientific and engineering communities. We present a computationally simple, sample eigenvalue based procedure for estimating the number of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 N. Raj Rao , Alan Edelman

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Yun Yang , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We consider geometrical optimization problems related to optimizing the error probability in the presence of a Gaussian noise. One famous questions in the field is the "weak simplex conjecture". We discuss possible approaches to it, and…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Alexey Balitskiy , Roman Karasev , Alexander Tsigler

In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the harmonic regression with cyclically dependent errors is addressed. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimates are analyzed by simulation experiments. By numerical simulation, we…

We study distributed estimation of a Gaussian mean under communication constraints in a decision theoretical framework. Minimax rates of convergence, which characterize the tradeoff between the communication costs and statistical accuracy,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

We consider the task of estimating a low-rank matrix from non-linear and noisy observations. We prove a strong universality result showing that Bayes-optimal performances are characterized by an equivalent Gaussian model with an effective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Pierre Mergny , Justin Ko , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We consider the problem of detecting a small subset of defective items from a large set via non-adaptive "random pooling" group tests. We consider both the case when the measurements are noiseless, and the case when the measurements are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-25 Chun Lam Chan , Pak Hou Che , Sidharth Jaggi , Venkatesh Saligrama

It is common to model a deterministic response function, such as the output of a computer experiment, as a Gaussian process with a Mat\'ern covariance kernel. The smoothness parameter of a Mat\'ern kernel determines many important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Toni Karvonen

The effect of measurement errors in discriminant analysis is investigated. Given observations $Z=X+\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ denotes a random noise, the goal is to predict the density of $X$ among two possible candidates $f$ and $g$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

We study semiparametric efficiency bounds and efficient estimation of parameters defined through general moment restrictions with missing data. Identification relies on auxiliary data containing information about the distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-04 Xiaohong Chen , Han Hong , Alessandro Tarozzi

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We propose two families of asymptotically local minimax lower bounds on parameter estimation performance. The first family of bounds applies to any convex, symmetric loss function that depends solely on the difference between the estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Neri Merhav

We consider the problem of estimating the proportion $\theta$ of true null hypotheses in a multiple testing context. The setup is classically modeled through a semiparametric mixture with two components: a uniform distribution on interval…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Van Hanh Nguyen , Catherine Matias

In this paper, tight upper and lower bounds are derived on the weighted sum of minimum mean-squared errors for additive Gaussian noise channels. The bounds are obtained by constraining the input distribution to be close to a Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor , K. G. Nagananda

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

In the context of linear regression, we construct a data-driven convex loss function with respect to which empirical risk minimisation yields optimal asymptotic variance in the downstream estimation of the regression coefficients. At the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Oliver Y. Feng , Yu-Chun Kao , Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth
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