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In this paper, we propose some algorithms for the simulation of the distribution of certain diffusions conditioned on terminal point. We prove that the conditional distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Bernard Delyon , Ying Hu

We calculate the survival probability P_S(t) up to time t of a tracer particle moving along a deterministic trajectory in a continuous d-dimensional space in the presence of diffusing but mutually noninteracting traps. In particular, for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

The statistics of the first-encounter time of diffusing particles changes drastically when they are placed under confinement. In the present work, we make use of Monte Carlo simulations to study the behavior of a two-particle system in two-…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-06 F. Le Vot , S. B. Yuste , E. Abad , D. S. Grebenkov

Demixing of binary fluids subjected to slow temperature ramps shows repeated waves of nucleation which arise as a consequence of the competition between generation of supersaturation by the temperature ramp and relaxation of supersaturation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-16 Izabella J. Benczik , Jürgen Vollmer

We consider a structural model where the survival/default state is observed together with a noisy version of the firm value process. This assumption makes the model more realistic than most of the existing alternatives, but triggers…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-05 Cheikh Mbaye , Abass Sagna , Frédéric Vrins

Continuous diffusion models are commonly acknowledged to display a deterministic probability flow, whereas discrete diffusion models do not. In this paper, we aim to establish the fundamental theory for the probability flow of discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Pengze Zhang , Hubery Yin , Chen Li , Xiaohua Xie

Reaction dynamics involving subdiffusive species is an interesting topic with only few known results, especially when the motion of different species is characterized by different anomalous diffusion exponents. Here we study the reaction…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 S. B. Yuste , Katja Lindenberg

Many events in biology are triggered when a diffusing searcher finds a target, which is called a first passage time (FPT). The overwhelming majority of FPT studies have analyzed the time it takes a single searcher to find a target. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Sean D Lawley

We derive new results comparing the asymptotic variance of diffusions by writing them as appropriate limits of discrete-time birth-death chains which themselves satisfy Peskun orderings. We then apply our results to simulated tempering…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper,we consider a macro approximation of the flow of a risk reserve, The process is observed at discrete time points. Because we cannot directly observe each jump time and size then we will make use of a technique for identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Chunhao Cai , Junyi Guo , Honglong You

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

Extensive simulations are performed of the diffusion-limited reaction A$+$B$\to 0$ in one dimension, with initially separated reagents. The reaction rate profile, and the probability distributions of the separation and midpoint of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Stephen Cornell

We present a closed-form expression for the survival probability of a biased random walker to first reach a target site on a 1D lattice. The expression holds for any step number $N$ and is computationally faster than non-closed-form results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-02 Debendro Mookerjee , Sarah Kostinski

We explain the connection between the Gumbel limit for diffusion exit times and the theory of extreme values.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Yuri Bakhtin

Survival analysis is a widely-used technique for analyzing time-to-event data in the presence of censoring. In recent years, numerous survival analysis methods have emerged which scale to large datasets and relax traditional assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Mert Ketenci , Shreyas Bhave , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Motivated by queueing applications, we consider a certain class of two-dimensional random walks for which their invariant measure is written as a linear combination of a finite number of product-form terms. In this work, we investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Ioannis Dimitriou

This paper investigates the impact of distributional uncertainty on key risk measures under the partial knowledge of underlying distributions characterized by their first two moments and shape information (specifically symmetry and/or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Mengshuo Zhao , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Chuancun Yin , Hui Shao

Turing instabilities of reaction-diffusion systems can only arise if the diffusivities of the chemical species are sufficiently different. This threshold is unphysical in most systems with $N=2$ diffusing species, forcing experimental…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-17 Pierre A. Haas , Raymond E. Goldstein

We consider a Random Walk in Random Environment (RWRE) moving in an i.i.d.\ random field of obstacles. When the particle hits an obstacle, it disappears with a positive probability. We obtain quenched and annealed bounds on the tails of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Nina Gantert , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

We derive the asymptotic first passage time (FPT) distribution for space-dependent variable-order time-fractional diffusion, where the fractional exponent $\alpha(x)$ varies with position. For any sufficiently smooth $\alpha(x)$ on a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-16 Wancheng Li , Daniel S. Han