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We study a distributionally robust mean square error estimation problem over a nonconvex Wasserstein ambiguity set containing only normal distributions. We show that the optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution form a Nash…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

This paper presents preliminary work on computing upper bounds on the estimation error covariance in the framework of the extended Kalman filter. The approach taken is using quadratic constraints to bound the dynamic nonlinearities and use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Sze Kwan Cheah , Yingjie Hu

This paper considers the simultaneous state and unknown input estimation for continuous-discrete stochastic systems. Two types of approaches (with and without modeling of unknown inputs) which can address this issue are investigated. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Peng Lu

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

The ensemble Kalman filter is widely used in applications because, for high dimensional filtering problems, it has a robustness that is not shared for example by the particle filter; in particular it does not suffer from weight collapse.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-29 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

The paper proposes a new recursive filter for non-linear systems that inherently computes a valid bound on the mean square estimation error. The proposed filter, bound based extended Kalman, (BEKF) is in the form of an extended Kalman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Gyorgy Hexner , Haim Weiss

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

Many systems arising in biological applications are subject to periodic forcing. In these systems the forcing parameter is not only time-varying but also known to have a periodic structure. We present an approach to estimating periodic,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-25 Andrea Arnold , Alun L. Lloyd

We study the problem of distributed Kalman filtering for sensor networks in the presence of model uncertainty. More precisely, we assume that the actual state-space model belongs to a ball, in the Kullback-Leibler topology, about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Mattia Zorzi

The area of fault detection is becoming more interesting since there have been many unique designs to detect or even compensate the faults, either from sensor or actuator. This paper applies the hydraulic system with interconnected tanks by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Moh Kamalul Wafi

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

We develop a generalization of correlated trend-cycle decompositions that avoids prior assumptions about the long-run dynamic characteristics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process and incorporating a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-26 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

The widely-used Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) provides a straightforward recipe to estimate the mean and covariance of the state given all past measurements in a causal and recursive fashion. For a wide variety of applications, the EKF is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Stephanie Tsuei , Stefano Soatto , Paulo Tabuada , Mark B. Milam

When an isolated quantum system is driven out of equilibrium, expectation values of general observables start oscillating in time. This article reviews the general theory of such temporal fluctuations. We first survey some results on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-02 Lorenzo Campos Venuti , Paolo Zanardi

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

The problem of the optimal allocation (in the expected mean square error sense) of a measurement budget for particle filtering is addressed. We propose three different optimal intermittent filters, whose optimality criteria depend on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-29 Antoine Aspeel , Amaury Gouverneur , Raphaël M. Jungers , Benoit Macq

Filters, especially wide range of Kalman Filters have shown their impacts on predicting variables of stochastic models with higher accuracy then traditional statistic methods. Updating mean and covariance each time makes Bayesian inferences…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-26 Yan Zhao