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Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Ari S. Freedman , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximillian M. Nguyen , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Simon A. Levin

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The spread of an infectious disease can, in some cases, promote the propagation of other pathogens favouring violent outbreaks, which cause a discontinuous transition to an endemic state. The topology of the contact network plays a crucial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Peng-Bi Cui , Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

Epidemic spread in single-host systems strongly depends on the population's contact network. However, little is known regarding the spread of epidemics across networks representing populations of multiple hosts. We explored cross-species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-06 Shai Pilosof , Gili Greenbaum , Boris R. Krasnov , Yuval R. Zelnik

Within the likes of any highly contagious and unpredictable disease, lies a predictable and attainable growth rate that researchers can find in order to make logistical conclusions about that particular disease and its affected regions'…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-05 Julian Bennett , Lauren Eriksen , Xingjie Helen Li

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

Motivated by analogies between the spreading of human-to-human infections and of chemical processes, we develop a comprehensive model that accounts both for infection and for transport. In this analogy, the three different populations of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-08 Harisankar Ramaswamy , Assad A Oberai , Yannis C Yortsos

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

In this Chapter, we discuss the effects of higher-order structures on SIS-like processes of social contagion. After a brief motivational introduction where we illustrate the standard SIS process on networks and the difference between simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-03 Alain Barrat , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Iacopo Iacopini , Yamir Moreno

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

In temporal networks, both the topology of the underlying network and the timings of interaction events can be crucial in determining how some dynamic process mediated by the network unfolds. We have explored the limiting case of the speed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-28 Mikko Kivelä , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-16 L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein

The worldwide COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant growth of interest in the development of mathematical models that allow to describe effects such as social distancing measures, the development of vaccines, and mutations. Several of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-07-04 Michael te Vrugt , Julian Jeggle , Raphael Wittkowski

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

We introduce a model of the diffusion of an epidemic with demographically heterogeneous agents interacting socially on a spatially structured network. Contagion-risk averse agents respond behaviorally to the diffusion of the infections by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-13 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

This paper analyses an SIRS-type model for infectious diseases with account for behavioural changes associated with the simultaneous spread of awareness in the population. Two types of awareness are included into the model: private…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-17 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

We discuss how spreading processes on temporal networks are impacted by the shape of their inter-event time distributions. Through simple mathematical arguments and toy examples, we find that the key factor is the ordering in which events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Renaud Lambiotte , Lionel Tabourier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

In this paper, we perform Monte Carlo calculations to study the critical behavior of the spread of infectious diseases through a novel approach to the SIR epidemiological model. A stochastic lattice gas version of the model was applied on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-15 Carlos Handrey Araujo Ferraz