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Chaotic systems make long-horizon forecasts difficult because small perturbations in initial conditions cause trajectories to diverge at an exponential rate. In this setting, neural operators trained to minimize squared error losses, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Elena Orlova , Rebecca Willett

This letter reports on a new method of analysing experimentally gained time series with respect to different types of noise involved, namely, we show that it is possible to differentiate between dynamical and measurement noise. This method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Siefert , J. Peinke , R. Friedrich

For discretisations of hyperbolic conservation laws, mimicking properties of operators or solutions at the continuous (differential equation) level discretely has resulted in several successful methods. While well-posedness for nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Hendrik Ranocha

We introduce a class of one dimensional deterministic models of energy-volume conserving interfaces. Numerical simulations show that these dynamics are genuinely super-diffusive. We then modify the dynamics by adding a conservative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Cédric Bernardin , Gabriel Stoltz

Extreme events are a major concern in statistical modeling. Ran\-dom missing data can constitute a problem when modeling such rare events. Imputation is crucial in these situations and therefore models that describe different imputation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Helena Ferreira , Ana Paula Martins , Maria da Graça Temido

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible while constrained to match empirically estimated feature expectations. However, in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Kenneth Bogert , Yikang Gui , Prashant Doshi

Parameter estimation is of fundamental importance in areas from atomic spectroscopy and atomic clocks to gravitational wave detection. Entangled probes provide a significant precision gain over classical strategies in the absence of noise.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-10-28 R. Chaves , J. B. Brask , M. Markiewicz , J. Kolodynski , A. Acin

As engineered systems grow in complexity, there is an increasing need for automatic methods that can detect, diagnose, and even correct transient anomalies that inevitably arise and can be difficult or impossible to diagnose and fix…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Robert E. Colgan , Zsuzsa Márka , Jingkai Yan , Imre Bartos , John N. Wright , Szabolcs Márka

In this paper we present a general result with an easily checkable condition that ensures a transition from chaotic regime to regular regime in random dynamical systems with additive noise. We show how this result applies to a prototypical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Isaia Nisoli

For a class of idealized chaotic systems (hyperbolic systems) correlations decay exponentially in time. This result is asymptotic and rigorous. The decay rate is related to the Ruelle-Pollicott resonances. Nearly all chaotic model systems,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Shmuel Fishman , Saar Rahav

This paper first makes an attempt to investigate the partial information near optimal control of systems governed by forward-backward stochastic differential equations with observation noise under the assumption of a convex control domain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-11 Qingxin Meng , Qiuhong Shi , Maoning Tang

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We study nonlinear wave equations perturbed by transport noise acting either on the displacement or on the velocity. Such noise models random advection and, under suitable scaling of space covariance, may generate an effective dissipative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chang Liu , Dejun Luo

Extreme mass-ratio inspirals (EMRI) are one of the most sensitive probes of black hole spacetimes with gravitational wave measurements. In this work, we systematically analyze the dynamics of an EMRI system near orbital resonances, assuming…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-15 Zhen Pan , Huan Yang , Laura Bernard , Béatrice Bonga

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

A central problem in uncertainty quantification is how to characterize the impact that our incomplete knowledge about models has on the predictions we make from them. This question naturally lends itself to a probabilistic formulation, by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-03 Giovanni Dematteis , Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We consider the dynamic linear regression problem, where the predictor vector may vary with time. This problem can be modeled as a linear dynamical system, with non-constant observation operator, where the parameters that need to be learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Mark Kozdoba , Edward Moroshko , Shie Mannor , Koby Crammer

We consider classical nonlinear oscillators on hexagonal lattices. When the coupling between the elements is repulsive, we observe coexisting states, each one with its own basin of attraction. These states differ by their degree of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-16 F. Ionita , D. Labavic , M. A. Zaks , H. Meyer-Ortmanns