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We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel , Natesh Pillai

We analyze the effects of noise on the permutation entropy of dynamical systems. We take as numerical examples the logistic map and the R\"ossler system. Upon varying the noise strengthfaster, we find a transition from an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-30 C. Quintero-Quiroz , Simone Pigolotti , M. C. Torrent , Cristina Masoller

We consider the time evolution of simple quantum systems under the influence of random fluctuations of the control parameters. We show that when the parameters fluctuate sufficiently fast, there is a cancellation effect of the noise. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Solinas , Nino Zanghi

Motivated by the psychological literature on the "peak-end rule" for remembered experience, we perform an analysis within a random walk framework of a discrete choice model where agents' future choices depend on the peak memory of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-01 Rosemary J. Harris

We consider the extremal shot noise defined by $$M(y)=\sup\{mh(y-x);(x,m)\in\Phi\},$$ where $\Phi$ is a Poisson point process on $\bbR^d\times (0,+\infty)$ with intensity $\lambda dxG(dm)$ and $h:\bbR^d\to [0,+\infty]$ is a measurable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Clément Dombry

In this paper, the behaviour of the observer error of an in-domain actuated vibrating string, where the observer system has been designed based on energy considerations exploiting a port-Hamiltonian system representation for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Tobias Malzer , Hubert Rams , Bernd Kolar , Markus Schöberl

We consider a 2-dimensional stochastic differential equation in polar coordinates depending on several parameters. We show that if these parameters belong to a specific regime then the deterministic system explodes in finite time, but the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Matti Leimbach , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Michael Scheutzow

We study the dynamics of fronts when both inertial effects and external fluctuations are taken into account. Stochastic fluctuations are introduced as multiplicative noise arising from a control parameter of the system. Contrary to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jose M. Sancho , Angel Sanchez

We introduce a new dynamical indicator of stability based on the Extreme Value statistics showing that it provides an insight on the local stability properties of dynamical systems. The indicator perform faster than other based on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

The principal aim of the present work is to explore limit theorems for small random perturbations of dynamical systems with periodic impulse effects, in the limit of vanishing noise intensity. We start with a system whose time evolution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Ashif Khan , Chetan D. Pahlajani

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

In recent years, material-induced noise arising from defects has emerged as an impediment to quantum-limited measurement in systems ranging from microwave qubits to gravity wave interferometers. As experimental systems push to ever smaller…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-07-06 R. O. Behunin , F. Intravaia , P. T. Rakich

We investigate the lifetime of dynamical regimes under the impact of noise motivated by low-dimensional models of the atmosphere. One may expect that the inclusion of noise tends to make the system leave prescribed regions of the state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Henry Schoeller , Robin Chemnitz , Péter Koltai , Maximilian Engel , Stephan Pfahl

We present an overview of the effects of detailed-balance violating perturbations on the universal static and dynamic scaling behavior near a critical point. It is demonstrated that the standard critical dynamics universality classes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Uwe C. Tauber , Vamsi K. Akkineni , Jaime E. Santos

This article reports on a new approach to properly analyze time series of dynamical systems which are spoilt by the simultaneous presence of dynamical noise and measurement noise. It is shown that even strong external measurement noise as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Frank Boettcher , Joachim Peinke , David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich , Pedro G. Lind , Maria Haase

"\textit{The noise is the signal}"[R. Landauer, Nature \textbf{392}, 658 (1998)] emphasizes the rich information content encoded in fluctuations. This paper assesses the dynamical role of fluctuations of a quantum system driven far from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-03-10 Yi-Jen Chen , Stefan Pabst , Zheng Li , Oriol Vendrell , Robin Santra

Effect of noise in inducing order on various chaotically evolving systems is reviewed, with special emphasis on systems consisting of coupled chaotic elements. In many situations it is observed that the uncoupled elements when driven by…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Manojit Roy , R. E. Amritkar