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A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

We study cascading failures in networks using a dynamical flow model based on simple conservation and distribution laws to investigate the impact of transient dynamics caused by the rebalancing of loads after an initial network failure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-05-04 Ingve Simonsen , Lubos Buzna , Karsten Peters , Stefan Bornholdt , Dirk Helbing

We study numerically the cascading failure problem by using artificially created scale-free networks and the real network structure of the power grid. The capacity for a vertex is assigned as a monotonically increasing function of the load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-08 Bing Wang , Beom Jun Kim

Sudden failure of a single transmission element in a power grid can induce a domino effect of cascading failures, which can lead to the isolation of a large number of consumers or even to the failure of the entire grid. Here we present…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-14 Martin Rohden , Daniel Jung , Samyak Tamrakar , Stefan Kettemann

Large-scale power blackouts caused by cascading failure are inflicting enormous socioeconomic costs. We study the problem of cascading link failures in power networks modelled by random geometric graphs from a percolation-based viewpoint.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-12-09 Hongda Xiao , Edmund Yeh

Whereas maintenance has been recognized as an important and effective means for risk management in power systems, it turns out to be intractable if cascading blackout risk is considered due to the extremely high computational complexity. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Yunhe Hou , Shengwei Mei

Electrical power grids are vulnerable to cascading failures that can lead to large blackouts. Detection and prevention of cascading failures in power grids is impor- tant. Currently, grid operators mainly monitor the state (loading level)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-20 Martijn Warnier , Stefan Dulman , Yakup Koç , Eric Pauwels

The increasing complexity and interdependency of today's networks highlight the importance of studying network robustness to failure and attacks. Many large-scale networks are prone to cascading effects where a limited number of initial…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-27 Khashayar Kamran , Edmund Yeh

External or internal shocks may lead to the collapse of a system consisting of many agents. If the shock hits only one agent initially and causes it to fail, this can induce a cascade of failures among neighoring agents. Several critical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Claudio J. Tessone , Antonios Garas , Beniamino Guerra , Frank Schweitzer

Networked systems are susceptible to cascading failures, where the failure of an initial set of nodes propagates through the network, often leading to system-wide failures. In this work, we propose a multiplex flow network model to study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Orkun İrsoy , Osman Yağan

In a network, a local disturbance can propagate and eventually cause a substantial part of the system to fail, in cascade events that are easy to conceptualize but extraordinarily difficult to predict. Here, we develop a statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-07 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

Uncertainty levels in forecasting of renewable generation and demand are known to affect the amount of reserve required to operate the power grid with a given level of reliability. In this paper, we quantify the effects on the system…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-06-18 Yihui Zuo , Fabrizio Sossan , Mokhtar Bozorg , Mario Paolone

Large-scale load-altering attacks (LAAs) are known to severely disrupt power grid operations by manipulating several internet-of-things (IoT)-enabled load devices. In this work, we analyze power grid cascading failures induced by such…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Maldon Patrice Goodridge , Alessandro Zocca , Subhash Lakshminarayana

In this work, cascading transmission line failures are studied through a dynamical model of the power system operating under fixed conditions. The power grid is modeled as a stochastic dynamical system where first-principles…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-18 Jacob Roth , David A. Barajas-Solano , Panos Stinis , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu

Power system security assessments, e.g. via cascading outage models, often use operational set-points based on optimal power flow (OPF) dispatch. However, driven by cost minimization, OPF provides an ideal, albeit unrealistic, clearing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Andrej Stankovski , Blazhe Gjorgiev , James Ciyu Qin , Giovanni Sansavini

This paper considers a model for cascades on random networks in which the cascade propagation at any node depends on the load at the failed neighbor, the degree of the neighbor as well as the load at that node. Each node in the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-17 Srikanth K. Iyer , Rahul Vaze , Dheeraj Narasimha

The problem of cascading failures in cyber-physical systems is drawing much attention in lieu of different network models for a diverse range of applications. While many analytic results have been reported for the case of large networks,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Ali Eslami , Chuan Huang , Junshan Zhang , Shuguang Cui

Since cascading outages are major threats to power systems, it is important to reduce the risk of potential cascading outages. In this paper, a risk management method of cascading outages based on Markovian tree search is proposed. With the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Rui Yao , Kai Sun , Feng Liu , Shengwei Mei

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

The understanding of cascading failures in complex systems has been hindered by the lack of realistic large-scale modeling and analysis that can account for variable system conditions. Here, using the North American power grid, we identify,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-23 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter