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Background: Globally, influenza is a major cause of morbidity, hospitalization and mortality. Influenza vaccination has shown substantial protective effectiveness in the United States. We investigated state-level patterns of coverage rates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-14 Alice P. Y. Chiu , Duo Yu , Jonathan Dushoff , Daihai He

Seasonal influenza presents an ongoing challenge to public health. The rapid evolution of the flu virus necessitates annual vaccination campaigns, but the decision to get vaccinated or not in a given year is largely voluntary, at least in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-21 Irena Papst , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Steven H. Strogatz

The threat of avian influenza and the 2004-2005 influenza vaccine supply shortage in the United States has sparked a debate about optimal vaccination strategies to reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality caused by the influenza virus.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-10 Shweta Bansal , Babak Pourbohloul , Lauren Ancel Meyers

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng

Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire immunity. Immunization strategies may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Sámuel G. Balogh , Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

We define and analyze an inductive reasoning game of voluntary yearly vaccination in order to establish whether or not a population of individuals acting in their own self-interest would be able to prevent influenza epidemics. We find that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Romulus Breban , Raffaele Vardavas , Sally Blower

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

The impact of climate conditions on influenza epidemiology has mostly been studied by addressing a singular aspect of transmission and a climate variable correlating to it. As climate change unfolds at an unprecedented rate, we urgently…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-24 Branislava Lalic , Vladimir Koci , Ana Firanj Sremac , Zorana Jovanovic Andersen

Influenza is a contagious respiratory illness that causes significant human morbidity and mortality, affecting 5-15% of the population in a typical epidemic season. Human influenza epidemics are caused by types A and B, with roughly 25% of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-14 Yidan Pan , Michael W. Deem

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Finding optimal policies to reduce the morbidity and mortality of the ongoing pandemic is a top public health priority. Using a compartmental model with age structure and vaccination status, we examined the effect of age specific scheduling…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-29 Diána Knipl , Gergely Röst

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

This study estimates the overall effect of two influenza vaccination programs consecutively administered in a cluster-randomized trial in western Senegal over the course of two influenza seasons from 2009-2011. We apply cutting-edge…

If we can lower the number of people needed to vaccinate for a community to be immune against contagious diseases, we can save resources and life. A key to reach such a lower threshold of immunization is to find and vaccinate people who,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-10 Sungmin Lee , Luis E. C. Rocha , Fredrik Liljeros , Petter Holme

In this study, we explore the dynamic interplay between the timing of vaccination campaigns and the trajectory of disease spread in a population. Through comprehensive data analysis and modeling, we have uncovered a counter-intuitive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-06 Piergiorgio Castioni , Sergio Gòmez , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas

Preventing infectious disease like flu from spreading to large communities is one of the most important issues for humans. One effective strategy is voluntary vaccination, however, there is always the temptation for people refusing to be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Genki Ichinose , Takehiro Kurisaku

Common respiratory viruses cause seasonal epidemics in sequential patterns. The underlying mechanisms for this pattern have been debated for some time. For influenza, contenders include temperature, humidity, and vitamin D levels. While…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-05 Gorm Gruner Jensen , Florian Uekermann , Kim Sneppen , Lone Simonsen

Vaccination is an effective way to prevent and control the occurrence and epidemic of infectious diseases. However, many factors influence whether the residents decide to get vaccinated or not, such as the efficacy and side effects while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-09 Yingyue Ke , Jin Zhou

The rapid outbreak of bird flu challenges the outcome of effective vaccine for the upcoming years. The recent research established different norms to eliminate flu pandemics. This can be made possible with skilled experimental analyses and…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-06 Baby Jerald , T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair

Background: Influenza A/H3N2 has been circulating in humans since 1968, causing considerable morbidity and mortality. Although H3N2 incidence is highly seasonal, how such seasonality contributes to global phylogeographic migration dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-06 Daniel Zinder , Trevor Bedford , Edward B. Baskerville , Robert J. Woods , Manojit Roy , Mercedes Pascual
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