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For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ernst Eberlain , Yuri Kabanov , Thorsten Schmidt

In the setting of a L\'evy insurance risk process, we present some results regarding the Parisian ruin problem which concerns the occurrence of an excursion below zero of duration bigger than a given threshold $r$. First, we give the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Ronne Loeffen , Zbigniew Palmowski , Budhi Surya

In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

We derive exact tail asymptotics of the Parisian ruin probability for Gaussian risk models driven by locally self-similar Gaussian processes with a power-type deterministic trend. The considered setting includes non-stationary Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

We develop a stochastic approximation-type algorithm to solve finite state/action, infinite-horizon, risk-aware Markov decision processes. Our algorithm has two loops. The inner loop computes the risk by solving a stochastic saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Wenjie Huang , William B. Haskell

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer--reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-15 Krzysztof Burnecki , Zbigniew Palmowski , Marek Teuerle , Aleksandra Wilkowska

We show a methodology for the computation of the probability of deadline miss for a periodic real-time task scheduled by a resource reservation algorithm. We propose a modelling technique for the system that reduces the computation of such…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Luca Abeni , Bernardo Villalba Frías

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

In this paper we propose new iterative algorithm of calculating the joint distribution of the Parisian ruin time and the number of claims until Parisian ruin for the classical risk model. Examples are provided when the generic claim size is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Irmina Czarna , Yanhong Li , Zbigniew Palmowski , Chunming Zhao

The classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk process models the ruin probability of an insurance company experiencing an incoming cash flow - the premium income, and an outgoing cash flow - the claims. From a system's viewpoint, the web of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Rukuang Huang

We study a risk sensitive control version of the lifetime ruin probability problem. We consider a sequence of investments problems in Black-Scholes market that includes a risky asset and a riskless asset. We present a differential game that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Asaf Cohen

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 David Criens

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

Finite-precision floating point arithmetic unavoidably introduces rounding errors which are traditionally bounded using a worst-case analysis. However, worst-case analysis might be overly conservative because worst-case errors can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Fredrik Dahlqvist , Rocco Salvia , George A Constantinides

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

We survey a QMC approach to integral equations and develop some new applications to risk modeling. In particular, a rigorous error bound derived from Koksma-Hlawka type inequalities is achieved for certain expectations related to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michael Preischl , Stefan Thonhauser , Robert F. Tichy

In this note we find a formula for the supremum distribution of spectrally positive or negative L\'evy processes with a broken linear drift. This gives formulas for ruin probabilities in the case when two insurance companies (or two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zbigniew Michna

In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen , Ying Shen