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In this work, we introduce a novel estimator of the predictive risk with Poisson data, when the loss function is the Kullback-Leibler divergence, in order to define a regularization parameter's choice rule for the Expectation Maximization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Paolo Massa , Federico Benvenuto

Empirical risk minimization stands behind most optimization in supervised machine learning. Under this scheme, labeled data is used to approximate an expected cost (risk), and a learning algorithm updates model-defining parameters in search…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 James Schmidt

Missing data imputation forms the first critical step of many data analysis pipelines. The challenge is greatest for mixed data sets, including real, Boolean, and ordinal data, where standard techniques for imputation fail basic sanity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Yuxuan Zhao , Madeleine Udell

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

We consider computationally-efficient estimation of population parameters when observations are subject to missing data. In particular, we consider estimation under the realizable contamination model of missing data in which an $\epsilon$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Kabir Aladin Verchand , Ankit Pensia , Saminul Haque , Rohith Kuditipudi

In contrast to the popular Cox model which presents a multiplicative covariate effect specification on the time to event hazards, the semiparametric additive risks model (ARM) offers an attractive additive specification, allowing for direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Tong Wang , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Samiran Sinha

The Expectation Maximisation (EM) algorithm is widely used to optimise non-convex likelihood functions with latent variables. Many authors modified its simple design to fit more specific situations. For instance, the Expectation (E) step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Thomas Lartigue , Stanley Durrleman , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is to find maximum likelihood solution for models having latent variables. A typical example is Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) which requires Gaussian assumption, however, natural images are highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Wentian Zhao , Shaojie Wang , Zhihuai Xie , Jing Shi , Chenliang Xu

Linear regression analysis focuses on predicting a numeric regressand value based on certain regressor values. In this context, k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) is a common non-parametric regression algorithm, which achieves efficient performance…

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

One of the most challenging problems in kernel online learning is to bound the model size and to promote the model sparsity. Sparse models not only improve computation and memory usage, but also enhance the generalization capacity, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Trung Le , Tu Dinh Nguyen , Vu Nguyen , Dinh Phung

Recently, there has been rising interest in Bayesian optimization -- the optimization of an unknown function with assumptions usually expressed by a Gaussian Process (GP) prior. We study an optimization strategy that directly uses an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Zi Wang , Bolei Zhou , Stefanie Jegelka

Expectation maximization (EM) is a technique for estimating maximum-likelihood parameters of a latent variable model given observed data by alternating between taking expectations of sufficient statistics, and maximizing the expected log…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Donna Henderson , Gerton Lunter

We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. Matching methods are heavily used in the social sciences due to their interpretability, but most matching…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Yameng Liu , Aw Dieng , Sudeepa Roy , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky

The convergence of expectation-maximization (EM)-based algorithms typically requires continuity of the likelihood function with respect to all the unknown parameters (optimization variables). The requirement is not met when parameters…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-18 Geethu Joseph

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

A fundamental limitation of various Equivalent Linearization Methods (ELMs) in nonlinear random vibration analysis is that they are approximate by their nature. A quantity of interest estimated from an ELM has no guarantee to be the same as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Ziqi Wang

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan
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