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Related papers: Climate Dynamics: A Network-Based Approach for the…

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Complex systems such as ecological communities and neuron networks are essential parts of our everyday lives. These systems are composed of units which interact through intricate networks. The ability to predict sudden changes in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-07 Deniz Eroglu , Matteo Tanzi , Sebastian van Strien , Tiago Pereira

The movement of atmospheric air masses can be seen as a continuous and complex flow of particles hovering over our planet. It can however be locally simplified by considering three-dimensional trajectories of air masses connecting distant…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-22 Maria Choufany , Davide Martinetti , Rachid Senoussi , Cindy E. Morris , Samuel Soubeyrand

Extreme weather events, rare yet profoundly impactful, are often accompanied by severe conditions. Increasing global temperatures are poised to exacerbate these events, resulting in greater human casualties, economic losses, and ecological…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-17 Yuhao Feng , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Hydro-meteorological variables, like precipitation, streamflow are significantly influenced by various climatic factors and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. Efficient water resources management requires an understanding of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-14 Maheswaran Rathinasamy , Ankit Agarwal , Vilakshna Parmar , Rakesh Khosa , Arvind Bairwa

The identification of precipitation regimes is important for many purposes such as agricultural planning, water resource management, and return period estimation. Since precipitation and other related meteorological data typically exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Shuiqing Yin

Network-based analyses of dynamical systems have become increasingly popular in climate science. Here we address network construction from a statistical perspective and highlight the often ignored fact that the calculated correlation values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Moritz Haas , Bedartha Goswami , Ulrike von Luxburg

Atmospheric flows exhibit fluctuations of all scales (space -time) ranging from turbulence (millimeters-seconds) to climate (thousands of kilometers-years). The apparently random fluctuations however exhibit long-range spatio-temporal…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-09-25 Suvarna Fadnavis , A. M. Selvam

In this work, we propose a simulation-based estimation approach using generative neural networks to determine dependencies of precipitation maxima and their underlying uncertainty in time and space. Within the common framework of max-stable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Christopher Bülte , Lisa Leimenstoll , Melanie Schienle

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

In recent years extensive studies on the Earth's climate system have been carried out by means of advanced complex network statistics. The great majority of these studies, however, have been focusing on investigating correlation structures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-20 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Dörthe Handorf , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

The fact that the Earth climate is a highly complex dynamical system is well-known. In the last few decades a lot of effort has been focused on understanding how climate phenomena in one geographical region affects the climate of other…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro

Understanding the spatial extent of extreme precipitation is necessary for determining flood risk and adequately designing infrastructure (e.g., stormwater pipes) to withstand such hazards. While environmental phenomena typically exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Raphaël Huser

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

Most climate trend studies analyze long-term trends as a proxy for climate dynamics. However, when examining seasonal data, it is unrealistic to assume that long-term trends remain consistent across all seasons. Instead, each season likely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaechoul Lee , Mintaek Lee , Thea Sukianto

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Although most models for rainfall extremes focus on point-wise values, it is aggregated precipitation over areas up to river catchment scale that is of the most interest. To capture the joint behaviour of precipitation aggregates evaluated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-03 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Understanding droughts in a climate context remains a major challenge. Over the United States, different choices of observations and metrics have often produced diametrically opposite insights. This paper focuses on understanding and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-31 Poulomi Ganguli , Auroop R. Ganguly

The provision of accurate methods for predicting the climate response to anthropogenic and natural forcings is a key contemporary scientific challenge. Using a simplified and efficient open-source general circulation model of the atmosphere…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-25 Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit , Francesco Ragone

We study the spatio-temporal features of extremal sub-daily precipitation data over the Piave river basin in northeast Italy using a rich database of observed hourly rainfall. Empirical evidence suggests that both the marginal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Dáire Healy , Ilaria Prosdocimi , Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos