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A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

In this paper, we study the optimal investment problem considering the herd behaviour between two agents, including one leading expert and one following agent whose decisions are influenced by those of the leading expert. In the objective…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

We introduce a new measure for the capital market efficiency. The measure takes into consideration the correlation structure of the returns (long-term and short-term memory) and local herding behavior (fractal dimension). The efficiency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-24 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

We propose a group model for correlations in stock markets. In the group model the markets are composed of several groups, within which the stock price fluctuations are correlated. The spectral properties of empirical correlation matrices…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jae Dong Noh

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

In this paper, we present the possibility of using the Ising like models to explain by Statistical Physics means the connection between the financial discontinuities (herd behavior, bubbles, crashes) and "critical points" in physical of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dorina Andru Vangheli , Gheorghe Ardelean

One of the most important features of capital markets as an adaptive complex networks is their collective behavior. In this paper, we have analyzed the banking sectors of 4 world stock markets,which composed of emerging and matures ones. By…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-05 Hanie. Vahabi , Ali Namaki , Reza Raei

Predicting panic is of critical importance in many areas of human and animal behavior, notably in the context of economics. The recent financial crisis is a case in point. Panic may be due to a specific external threat, or self-generated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-15 Dion Harmon , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , David D. Chinellato , Dan Braha , Irving R. Epstein , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper investigates the impact of the adoption of generative AI on financial stability. We conduct laboratory-style experiments using large language models to replicate classic studies on herd behavior in trading decisions. Our results…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Anne Lundgaard Hansen , Seung Jung Lee

Activity recognition and, more generally, behavior inference tasks are gaining a lot of interest. Much of it is work in the context of human behavior. New available tracking technologies for wild animals are generating datasets that…

Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Shangmei Zhao , Qiuchao Xie , Qing Lu , Xin Jiang , Wei Chen

Collective motion in animal groups, such as swarms of insects, flocks of birds, and schools of fish, are some of the most visually striking examples of emergent behavior. Empirical analysis of these behaviors in experiment or computational…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-03-16 Kevin Schultz , Marisel Villafane-Delgado , Elizabeth P. Reilly , Grace M. Hwang , Anshu Saksena

We review some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-25 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Micciche` , R. N. Mantegna

Collective behaviours often need to be expressed through numerical features, e.g., for classification or imitation learning. This problem is often addressed by proposing an ad-hoc feature set for a particular swarm behaviour context,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-16 André Fialho Jesus , Jonas Kuckling

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

Here we study the emergence of spontaneous leadership in large populations. In standard models of opinion dynamics, herding behavior is only obeyed at the local scale due to the interaction of single agents with their neighbors; while at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Guillem Mosquera-Donate , Marian Boguna

Social media platforms are thriving nowadays, so a huge volume of data is produced. As it includes brief and clear statements, millions of people post their thoughts on microblogging sites every day. This paper represents and analyze the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Suchandra Dutta , Dhrubasish Sarkar , Sohom Roy , Dipak K. Kole , Premananda Jana

Collective behaviours taking place in financial markets reveal strongly correlated states especially during a crisis period. A natural hypothesis is that trend reversals are also driven by mutual influences between the different stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thomas Bury