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We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

Nowadays, epidemic models provide an appropriate tool for describing the propagation of biological viruses in human or animal populations, or rumours and other kinds of information in social networks and malware in both computer and ad hoc…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Vladislav Taynitskiy , Elena Gubar , Denis Fedyanin , Ilya Petrov , Quanyan Zhu

Background: The global spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic has clearly shown the importance of considering the long-range transportation networks in the understanding of emerging diseases outbreaks. The…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-16 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Vespignani

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat

With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot

Mathematical models represent one of the fundamental ways of studying nature. In special, epidemic models have shown to be particularly useful in the understanding of the course of diseases and in the planning effective control policies. A…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Paulo C. Ventura , Eric K. Tokuda , Luciano da F. Costa , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Passenger contact in public transit (PT) networks can be a key mediate in the spreading of infectious diseases. This paper proposes a time-varying weighted PT encounter network to model the spreading of infectious diseases through the PT…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Baichuan Mo , Kairui Feng , Yu Shen , Clarence Tam , Daqing Li , Yafeng Yin , Jinhua Zhao

Human interactions and mobility shape epidemic dynamics by facilitating disease outbreaks and their spatial spread across regions. Traditional models often isolate commuting and random mobility as separate behaviors, focusing either on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Pablo Valgañón , Antonio Brotons , David Soriano-Paños , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

In spite of the extensive previous efforts on traffic dynamics and epidemic spreading in complex networks, the problem of traffic-driven epidemic spreading on {\em correlated} networks has not been addressed. Interestingly, we find that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-22 Han-Xin Yang , Ming Tang , Ying-Cheng Lai

Motivated by the swift global transmission of infectious diseases, we present a comprehensive framework for network-based epidemic control. Our aim is to curb epidemics using two different approaches. In the first approach, we introduce an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Mahtab Talaei , Apostolos I. Rikos , Alex Olshevsky , Laura F. White , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We introduce a surveillance strategy specifically designed for urban areas to enhance preparedness and response to disease outbreaks by leveraging the unique characteristics of human behavior within urban contexts. By integrating data on…

We introduce a general system of ordinary differential equations that includes some classical and recent models for the epidemic spread in a closed population without vital dynamic in a finite time horizon. The model is vectorial, in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Lorenzo Freddi

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-21 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Jose' J. Ramasco , Pablo Jensen , Vittoria Colizza

We calculate epidemic thresholds and investigate the dynamics of a disease in a networked metapopulation model. To study the specific role of mobility levels and network geometry, we utilize the SIR-Network model and consider a range of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-07 Haridas K. Das , Lucas M. Stolerman

In this paper, we propose an optimization framework that combines surveillance schedules and sparse control to bound the risk of spreading processes such as epidemics and wildfires. Here, risk is considered the risk of an undetected…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-14 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

Metapopulation epidemic models are a valuable tool for studying large-scale outbreaks. With the limited availability of epidemic tracing data, it is challenging to infer the essential constituents of these models, namely, the epidemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Xin Li , Jonathan Cohen , Shai Pilosof , Rami Puzis