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We introduce a novel procedure for obtaining cross-validated predictive estimates for Bayesian hierarchical regression models (BHRMs). Bayesian hierarchical models are popular for their ability to model complex dependence structures and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-01 Amy X. Zhang , Le Bao , Changcheng Li , Michael J. Daniels

In high-dimensional data analysis, regularization methods pursuing sparsity and/or low rank have received a lot of attention recently. To provide a proper amount of shrinkage, it is typical to use a grid search and a model comparison…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Yiyuan She , Hoang Tran

We study the mean-squared error of $k$-fold cross-validation as a risk estimator, with particular emphasis on how its accuracy depends on the number of folds $k$. Despite the widespread use of cross-validation, principled guidance for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Sylvain Arlot

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

Theoretical developments on cross validation (CV) have mainly focused on selecting one among a list of finite-dimensional models (e.g., subset or order selection in linear regression) or selecting a smoothing parameter (e.g., bandwidth for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Yuhong Yang

Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

We introduce a class of regularized M-estimators of multivariate scatter and show, analogous to the popular spatial sign covariance matrix (SSCM), that they possess high breakdown points. We also show that the SSCM can be viewed as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 David E. Tyler , Mengxi Yi , Klaus Nordhausen

This study's first purpose is to provide quantitative evidence that would incentivize researchers to instead use the more robust method of nested cross-validation. The second purpose is to present methods and MATLAB codes for doing power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hamzeh Ghasemzadeh , Robert E. Hillman , Daryush D. Mehta

Determining the number of factors is essential to factor analysis. In this paper, we propose {an efficient cross validation (CV)} method to determine the number of factors in approximate factor models. The method applies CV twice, first…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Xianli Zeng , Yingcun Xia , Linjun Zhang

While many statistical models and methods are now available for network analysis, resampling network data remains a challenging problem. Cross-validation is a useful general tool for model selection and parameter tuning, but is not directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Tianxi Li , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

Cross-validation (CV) is widely used for tuning a model with respect to user-selected parameters and for selecting a "best" model. For example, the method of $k$-nearest neighbors requires the user to choose $k$, the number of neighbors,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-01 Hui Shen , William J. Welch , Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

We give a new algorithm for the estimation of the cross-covariance matrix $\mathbb{E} XY'$ of two large dimensional signals $X\in\mathbb{R}^n$, $Y\in \mathbb{R}^p$ in the context where the number $T$ of observations of the pair $(X,Y)$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Florent Benaych-Georges , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

This paper studies V-fold cross-validation for model selection in least-squares density estimation. The goal is to provide theoretical grounds for choosing V in order to minimize the least-squares loss of the selected estimator. We first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Sylvain Arlot , Matthieu Lerasle

Cross-validation is one of the most widely used methods for model selection and evaluation; its efficiency for large covariance matrix estimation appears robust in practice, but little is known about the theoretical behavior of its error.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Lamia Lamrani , Benoît Collins , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Cross-validation is a useful and generally applicable technique often employed in machine learning, including decision tree induction. An important disadvantage of straightforward implementation of the technique is its computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Hendrik Blockeel , Jan Struyf

As a technique that can compactly represent complex patterns, machine learning has significant potential for predictive inference. K-fold cross-validation (CV) is the most common approach to ascertaining the likelihood that a machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Juan M Gorriz , R. Martin Clemente , F Segovia , J Ramirez , A Ortiz , J. Suckling

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler