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Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

We propose a new method, called MonteCarlo Posterior Fit, to boost the MonteCarlo sampling of likelihood (posterior) functions. The idea is to approximate the posterior function by an analytical multidimensional non-Gaussian fit. The many…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-19 Luca Amendola , Adrià Gómez-Valent

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We study QCD with (2+1)-HISQ fermions at nonzero temperature and nonzero imaginary baryon chemical potential. Monte Carlo simulations are performed using the MILC code along the line of constant physics with a light to strange mass ratio of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-10-26 Paolo Cea , Leonardo Cosmai , Alessandro Papa

The field of causal discovery develops model selection methods to infer cause-effect relations among a set of random variables. For this purpose, different modelling assumptions have been proposed to render cause-effect relations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Daniela Schkoda , Mathias Drton

We introduce methods and theory for fractionally cointegrated curve time series. We develop a variance-ratio test to determine the dimensions associated with the nonstationary and stationary subspaces. For each subspace, we apply a local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Won-Ki Seo , Han Lin Shang

Many flexible families of positive random variables exhibit non-closed forms of the density and distribution functions and this feature is considered unappealing for modelling purposes. However, such families are often characterized by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Lucio Barabesi , Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

For high precision measurements of K decays, the presence of radiated photons cannot be neglected. The Monte Carlo simulations must include the radiative corrections in order to compute the correct event counting and efficiency…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-01-07 C. Gatti

The problem of detecting variance breaks in the case of smooth time-varying variance structure is studied. It is highlighted that the tests based on (piecewise) constant specification of the variance are not able to distinguish between…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Ben Hajria Raja , Khardani Salah , Raïssi Hamdi

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

We present an analysis of positron lifetimes in solids with unprecedented depth. Instead of modeling correlation effects with density functionals, we study positron-electron wave functions with long-range correlations included. This gives…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-10-18 K. A. Simula , J. E. Muff , I. Makkonen , N. D. Drummond

Using fixed point characterization, we develop a new goodness of fit test for uniform distribution. We also discuss how the right censored observations can be incorporated in the proposed test procedure. We study the asymptotic properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-14 Sudheesh K. Kattumannil , Sreedevi E. P

The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis. Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-09-29 Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis

Goodness--of--fit tests for the distribution of the composed error term in a Stochastic Frontier Model (SFM) are suggested. The focus is on the case of a normal/gamma SFM and the heavy--tailed stable/gamma SFM. In the first case the moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Christos K. Papadimitriou , Simos G. Meintanis , Bernardo B. Andrade , Mike G. Tsionas

Suppose we have an observed path from a point process counting event occurrences in a large population. Based on the observed path, we would like to test the null hypothesis that the conditional intensity of the point process belongs to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Sami Umut Can , Estate V. Khmaladze , Roger J. A. Laeven

We propose a test for a change in the mean for a sequence of functional observations that are only partially observed on subsets of the domain, with no information available on the complement. The framework accommodates important scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Šárka Hudecová , Claudia Kirch

The Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test is a commonly used global goodness-of-fit (GOF) test that assesses the quality of the overall fit of a logistic regression model. In this paper, we give results from simulations showing that the type 1 error…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-30 Nikola Surjanovic , Thomas M. Loughin

The muon intensity attenuation method to detect heterogeneities in large matter volumes is analyzed. Approximate analytical expressions to estimate the collection time and the signal to noise ratio, are proposed and validated by Monte Carlo…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2008-11-26 V. Grabski , R. Reche , R. Alfaro , E. Belmont , A. Martinez , A. Sandoval , A. Menchaca-Rocha

Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King