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The one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of the matter density field in the universe is a fundamental property that plays an essential role in cosmology for estimates such as gravitational weak lensing, non-linear clustering,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-10 Anatoly Klypin , Francisco Prada , Juan Betancort-Rijo , Franco D. Albareti

Approximate Bayesian computation is a statistical framework that uses numerical simulations to calibrate and compare models. Instead of computing likelihood functions, Approximate Bayesian computation relies on numerical simulations, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-19 Louisiane Lemaire , Flora Jay , I-Hung Lee , Katalin Csilléry , Michael G. B. Blum

Photometric wide-field surveys are imaging the sky in unprecedented detail. These surveys face a significant challenge in efficiently estimating galactic photometric redshifts while accurately quantifying associated uncertainties. In this…

In this paper we demonstrate that multi-modal Probability Distribution Functions (PDFs) may be efficiently sampled using an algorithm originally developed for numerical integrations by Monte-Carlo methods. This algorithm can be used to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. J. Abraham , L. M. Haines

We introduce the DNNLikelihood, a novel framework to easily encode, through Deep Neural Networks (DNN), the full experimental information contained in complicated likelihood functions (LFs). We show how to efficiently parametrise the LF,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-08-26 Andrea Coccaro , Maurizio Pierini , Luca Silvestrini , Riccardo Torre

A robust uncertainty estimate in global analyses of Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) is essential at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), especially in view of the high-precision data anticipated by experimentalists in the High-Luminosity…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-14 Mark N. Costantini , Luca Mantani , James M. Moore , Maria Ubiali

In this paper we develop a likelihood-free approach for population calibration, which involves finding distributions of model parameters when fed through the model produces a set of outputs that matches available population data. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-07 Christopher Drovandi , Brodie Lawson , Adrianne L Jenner , Alexander P Browning

In many cosmological inference problems, the likelihood (the probability of the observed data as a function of the unknown parameters) is unknown or intractable. This necessitates approximations and assumptions, which can lead to incorrect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 Niall Jeffrey , Justin Alsing , François Lanusse

Particle Flow Filters estimate the ``a posteriori" probability density function (PDF) by moving an ensemble of particles according to the likelihood. Particles are propagated under the system dynamics until a measurement becomes available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Simone Servadio

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach for the detection and the tracking of particles in fluorescent time-lapse imaging. In the presence of a very noised and poor-quality data, particles and trajectories can be characterized by an a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Mariella Dimiccoli , Jean-Pascal Jacob , Lionel Moisan

CDF2PDF is a method of PDF estimation by approximating CDF. The original idea of it was previously proposed in [1] called SIC. However, SIC requires additional hyper-parameter tunning, and no algorithms for computing higher order derivative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-17 Shengdong Zhang

We present a new set of parton distribution functions (PDFs) based on a fully global dataset and machine learning techniques: NNPDF4.0. We expand the NNPDF3.1 determination with 44 new datasets, mostly from the LHC. We derive a novel…

We present a new regression model for the determination of parton distribution functions (PDF) using techniques inspired from deep learning projects. In the context of the NNPDF methodology, we implement a new efficient computing framework…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-04 Stefano Carrazza , Juan Cruz-Martinez

This work is an attempt to transfer to biology the methods developed in physics for formulating and solving the kinetic equations in which the kernel of the integral operator in spatial coordinates is slowly decreasing with increasing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 A. B. Kukushkin , A. A. Kulichenko , A. V. Sokolov

Parton distribution functions (PDFs) form an essential part of particle physics calculations. Currently, the most precise predictions for these non-perturbative functions are generated through fits to global data. A problem that several PDF…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-04 Mengshi Yan , Tie-Jiun Hou , Zhao Li , Kirtimaan Mohan , C. -P. Yuan

Likelihood profiling is an efficient and powerful frequentist approach for parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and practical identifiablity analysis. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be easily applied for stochastic models…

Our predictions for particle physics processes are realized in a chain of complex simulators. They allow us to generate high-fidelity simulated data, but they are not well-suited for inference on the theory parameters with observed data. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-11-03 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel

In Change point detection task Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) is sequentially applied in a sliding window procedure. Its high values indicate changes of parametric distribution in the data sequence. Correspondingly LRT values require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Nazar Buzun , Valeriy Avanesov

With the advancements in computing technology and web-based applications, data is increasingly generated in multi-dimensional form. This data is usually sparse due to the presence of a large number of users and fewer user interactions. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Thirunavukarasu Balasubramaniam , Richi Nayak , Chau Yuen