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A measure to estimate the direct and directional coupling in multivariate time series is proposed. The measure is an extension of a recently published measure of conditional Mutual Information from Mixed Embedding (MIME) for bivariate time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-16 Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

We present a model-free data-driven inference method that enables inferences on system outcomes to be derived directly from empirical data without the need for intervening modeling of any type, be it modeling of a material law or modeling…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Sergio Conti , Franca Hoffmann , Michael Ortiz

In various scientific and engineering fields, the primary research areas have revolved around physics-based dynamical systems modeling and data-driven time series analysis. According to the embedding theory, dynamical systems and time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jiaxi Hu , Bowen Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Fugee Tsung , Yuxuan Liang

Time series similarity measures are highly relevant in a wide range of emerging applications including training machine learning models, classification, and predictive modeling. Standard similarity measures for time series most often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Lucas Cassiel Jacaruso

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

In this paper, we develop a data-based controller design framework for diffusively coupled systems with guaranteed convergence to an $\epsilon$-neighborhood of the desired formation. The controller is comprised of a fixed controller with an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Miel Sharf , Anne Koch , Daniel Zelazo , Frank Allgöwer

Inferring the coupling direction from measured time series of complex systems is challenging. We propose a new state space based causality measure obtained from cross-distance vectors for quantifying interaction strength. It is a model-free…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-04 Martin Brešar , Pavle Boškoski

Complex systems and relational data are often abstracted as dynamical processes on networks. To understand, predict and control their behavior, a crucial step is to extract reduced descriptions of such networks. Inspired by notions from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte , Mauricio Barahona

The celebrated Takens' embedding theorem provides a theoretical foundation for reconstructing the full state of a dynamical system from partial observations. However, the classical theorem assumes that the underlying system is deterministic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Maria Oprea , Romit Maulik , Yunan Yang

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

The model-free control approach is an advanced control law that requires few information about the process to control. Since its introduction in 2008, numerous applications have been successfully considered, highlighting attractive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Loïc Michel

The description of complex physical phenomena often involves sophisticated models that rely on a large number of parameters, with many dimensions and scales. One practical way to simplify that kind of models is to discard some of the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-11 Simone Rusconi , Christina Schenk , Razvan Ceuca , Arghir Zarnescu , Elena Akhmatskaya

We extend the model-free Data-Driven computing paradigm to solids and structures that are stochastic due to intrinsic randomness in the material behavior. The behavior of such materials is characterized by a likelihood measure instead of a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Erik Prume , Stefanie Reese , Michael Ortiz

We propose a novel method for testing serial independence of object-valued time series in metric spaces, which is more general than Euclidean or Hilbert spaces. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, free of tuning parameters, and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Feiyu Jiang , Hanjia Gao , Xiaofeng Shao

A new method is introduced for analysis of interactions between time-dependent coupled oscillators, based on the signals they generate. It distinguishes unsynchronized dynamics from noise-induced phase slips, and enables the evolution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-09 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

This paper provides insight into when, why, and how forecast strategies fail when they are applied to complicated time series. We conjecture that the inherent complexity of real-world time-series data---which results from the dimension,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Joshua Garland , Ryan James , Elizabeth Bradley

Measurement involves the determination of quantitative estimates of physical quantities from experiment, along with estimates of their associated uncertainties. Herewith an experimental system model is the key to extracting information from…

Applications · Statistics 2008-09-01 Vladimir B. Bokov

This paper shows how a time series of measurements of an evolving system can be processed to create an inner time series that is unaffected by any instantaneous invertible, possibly nonlinear transformation of the measurements. An inner…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-28 David N. Levin
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