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Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

We present the first fully variational Bayesian inference scheme for continuous Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes. Such point processes are used in a variety of domains, including neuroscience, geo-statistics and astronomy, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-29 Chris Lloyd , Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

This paper investigates covariance operator estimation via thresholding. For Gaussian random fields with approximately sparse covariance operators, we establish non-asymptotic bounds on the estimation error in terms of the sparsity level of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Omar Al-Ghattas , Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

In this work, we consider the problem of steering the first two moments of the uncertain state of an unknown discrete-time stochastic nonlinear system to a given terminal distribution in finite time. Toward that goal, first, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Alexandros Tsolovikos , Efstathios Bakolas

A key challenge in the practical application of Gaussian processes (GPs) is selecting a proper covariance function. The moving average, or process convolutions, construction of GPs allows some additional flexibility, but still requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Thomas M. McDonald , Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

A new probabilistic post-processing method for wind vectors is presented in a distributional regression framework employing the bivariate Gaussian distribution. In contrast to previous studies all parameters of the distribution are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Moritz N. Lang , Georg J. Mayr , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

Dual-tree wavelet decompositions have recently gained much popularity, mainly due to their ability to provide an accurate directional analysis of images combined with a reduced redundancy. When the decomposition of a random process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Caroline Chaux , Jean-Christophe Pesquet , Laurent Duval

We prove some invariance principles for processes which generalize FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution. The limiting processes are extensions of the fractional L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-06 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

Motivated by practical applications, I present a novel and comprehensive framework for operator-valued positive definite kernels. This framework is applied to both operator theory and stochastic processes. The first application focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Saeed Hashemi Sababe

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely-used tools in spatial statistics and machine learning and the formulae for the mean function and covariance kernel of a GP $T u$ that is the image of another GP $u$ under a linear transformation $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Tadashi Matsumoto , T. J. Sullivan

In this paper we propose a new approach for constructing \emph{multivariate} Gaussian random fields (GRFs) with oscillating covariance functions through systems of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We discuss how to build…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Xiangping Hu , Finn Lindgren , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

The expressive power of Bayesian kernel-based methods has led them to become an important tool across many different facets of artificial intelligence, and useful to a plethora of modern application domains, providing both power and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Luca Martino , Jesse Read

Locally weighted regression was created as a nonparametric learning method that is computationally efficient, can learn from very large amounts of data and add data incrementally. An interesting feature of locally weighted regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-05 Franziska Meier , Philipp Hennig , Stefan Schaal

Motivated by the subordinated Brownian motion, we define a new class of (in general discontinuous) random fields on higher-dimensional parameter domains: the subordinated Gaussian random field. We investigate the pointwise marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

The problem of optimizing affine feedback laws that explicitly steer the mean and covariance of an uncertain system state in the presence of a Gaussian random field is considered. Spatially-dependent disturbances are successively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Jack Ridderhof , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling
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