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In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

We present a sample- and time-efficient differentially private algorithm for ordinary least squares, with error that depends linearly on the dimension and is independent of the condition number of $X^\top X$, where $X$ is the design matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Gavin Brown , Jonathan Hayase , Samuel Hopkins , Weihao Kong , Xiyang Liu , Sewoong Oh , Juan C. Perdomo , Adam Smith

The robustness of algorithms against covariate shifts is a fundamental problem with critical implications for the deployment of machine learning algorithms in the real world. Current evaluation methods predominantly measure robustness…

In our previous work, a reduced order model (ROM) for a stochastic system was made, where noisy data was projected onto principal component analysis (PCA)-derived basis vectors to obtain an accurate reconstruction of the noise-free data.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Indika Udagedara , Brian Helenbrook , Aaron Luttman , Jared Catenacci

We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

This work demonstrates how the concept of the entropic potential of events -- a parameter quantifying the influence of discrete events on the expected future entropy of a system -- can enhance uncertainty quantification, decision-making,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Mark Zilberman

We introduce the Prediction Advantage (PA), a novel performance measure for prediction functions under any loss function (e.g., classification or regression). The PA is defined as the performance advantage relative to the Bayesian risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Ran El-Yaniv , Yonatan Geifman , Yair Wiener

Real-world problems of operations research are typically high-dimensional and combinatorial. Linear programs are generally used to formulate and efficiently solve these large decision problems. However, in multi-period decision problems, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Wouter van Heeswijk , Han La Poutré

We consider iterative (`turbo') algorithms for compressed sensing. First, a unified exposition of the different approaches available in the literature is given, thereby enlightening the general principles and main differences. In particular…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-22 Robert F. H. Fischer , Susanne Sparrer

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

Information systems generate a large volume of event log data during business operations, much of which consists of low-value and redundant information. When performance predictions are made directly from these logs, the accuracy of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jianhong Ye , Siyuan Zhang , Yan Lin

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

We introduce a two-stage probabilistic framework for statistical downscaling using unpaired data. Statistical downscaling seeks a probabilistic map to transform low-resolution data from a biased coarse-grained numerical scheme to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zhong Yi Wan , Ricardo Baptista , Yi-fan Chen , John Anderson , Anudhyan Boral , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Probe-level models have led to improved performance in microarray studies but the various sources of probe-level contamination are still poorly understood. Data-driven analysis of probe performance can be used to quantify the uncertainty in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Leo Lahti , Laura L. Elo , Tero Aittokallio , Samuel Kaski

Ordinal optimization (OO) is a widely-studied technique for optimizing discrete-event dynamic systems (DEDS). It evaluates the performance of the system designs in a finite set by sampling and aims to correctly make ordinal comparison of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Yanwen Li , Siyang Gao

We consider the problem of Probably Approximate Correct (PAC) learning of a binary classifier from noisy labeled examples acquired from multiple annotators (each characterized by a respective classification noise rate). First, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Dinesh Garg , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , S. Sundararajan , Shirish Shevade

This paper addresses the challenge of probabilistic parameter estimation given measurement uncertainty in real-time. We provide a general formulation and apply this to pose estimation for an autonomous visual landing system. We present…

We study a fundamental stochastic selection problem involving $n$ independent random variables, each of which can be queried at some cost. Given a tolerance level $\delta$, the goal is to find a value that is $\delta$-approximately minimum…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Hessa Al-Thani , Viswanath Nagarajan

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas