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Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Two-stage stochastic optimization is a framework for modeling uncertainty, where we have a probability distribution over possible realizations of the data, called scenarios, and decisions are taken in two stages: we make first-stage…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Andre Linhares , Chaitanya Swamy

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Moran Barenboim , Vadim Indelman

This paper introduces a new approach to solve sensor management problems. Classically sensor management problems can be well formalized as Partially-Observed Markov Decision Processes (POMPD). The original approach developped here consists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-20 Thomas Bréhard , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe , Pierre-Arnaud Coquelin

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

This paper delivers improved theoretical guarantees for the convex programming approach in low-rank matrix estimation, in the presence of (1) random noise, (2) gross sparse outliers, and (3) missing data. This problem, often dubbed as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-13 Yuxin Chen , Jianqing Fan , Cong Ma , Yuling Yan

Experiments in predator-prey systems show the emergence of long-term cycles. Deterministic model typically fails in capturing these behaviors, which emerge from the microscopic interplay of individual based dynamics and stochastic effects.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Giacomo Albi , Roberto Chignola , Federica Ferrarese

Attention mechanisms have achieved significant empirical success in multiple fields, but their underlying optimization objectives remain unclear yet. Moreover, the quadratic complexity of self-attention has become increasingly prohibitive.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Qishuai Wen , Zhiyuan Huang , Chun-Guang Li

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

We consider discrete optimization problems with interval uncertatinty of objective function coefficients. The interval uncertainty models measurements errors. A pos\-sible optimal solution is a solution that is optimal for some possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Alexander Prolubnikov

This paper describes recursive algorithms for state estimation of linear dynamical systems when measurements are noisy with unknown bias and/or outliers. For situations with noisy and biased measurements, algorithms are proposed that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

When solving linear stochastic differential equations numerically, usually a high order spatial discretisation is used. Balanced truncation (BT) and singular perturbation approximation (SPA) are well-known projection techniques in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Martin Redmann , Melina A. Freitag

The Pandora's Box problem and its extensions capture optimization problems with stochastic input where the algorithm can obtain instantiations of input random variables at some cost. To our knowledge, all previous work on this class of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Shuchi Chawla , Evangelia Gergatsouli , Yifeng Teng , Christos Tzamos , Ruimin Zhang

Gradient-based methods for optimisation of objectives in stochastic settings with unknown or intractable dynamics require estimators of derivatives. We derive an objective that, under automatic differentiation, produces low-variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Gregory Farquhar , Shimon Whiteson , Jakob Foerster

Simulation-based ranking and selection (R&S) is a popular technique for optimizing discrete-event systems (DESs). It evaluates the mean performance of system designs by simulation outputs and aims to identify the best system design from a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Zirui Cao , Haowei Wang , Ek Peng Chew , Haobin Li , Kok Choon Tan

This paper studies the synchronization of stochastic linear systems which are subject to a general class of noises, in the sense that the noises are bounded in covariance but might be correlated with the states of agents and among each…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-16 Jiaqi Yan , Yilin Mo , Hideaki Ishii

This paper addresses the problem of learning linear dynamical systems from noisy observations. In this setting, existing algorithms either yield biased parameter estimates or have large sample complexities. We resolve these issues by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Yuyang Zhang , Xinhe Zhang , Jia Liu , Na Li

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function and its derivatives. Here we propose a new parameter estimation technique that does not require computing an intractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese
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