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This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

We establish a lower bound on the entropy of weighted sums of (possibly dependent) random variables $(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n)$ possessing a symmetric joint distribution. Our lower bound is in terms of the joint entropy of $(X_1, X_2, \dots,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Jing Hao , Varun Jog

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

A new characterization of the multivariate so-called "quasi-Gaussian distribution" (the authors dared to coin a new term) by means of independence their Cartesian and polar coordinates proposed. The authors try to show that these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota , A. Zeldin

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

We present a randomized method to approximate any vector $v$ from some set $T \subset \R^n$. The data one is given is the set $T$, and $k$ scalar products $(\inr{X_i,v})_{i=1}^k$, where $(X_i)_{i=1}^k$ are i.i.d. isotropic subgaussian…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shahar Mendelson , Alain Pajor , Nicole Tomczak-Jaegermann

We establish some limit theorems for quasi-arithmetic means of random variables. This class of means contains the arithmetic, geometric and harmonic means. Our feature is that the generators of quasi-arithmetic means are allowed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Yuichi Akaoka , Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

A random-walk Metropolis sampler is geometrically ergodic if its equilibrium density is super-exponentially light and satisfies a curvature condition [Stochastic Process. Appl. 85 (2000) 341-361]. Many applications, including Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Leif T. Johnson , Charles J. Geyer

The Gaussian state description of continuous variables is adapted to describe the quantum interaction between macroscopic atomic samples and continuous-wave light beams. The formalism is very efficient: a non-linear differential equation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. B. Madsen , K. Mølmer

We obtain results concerning the so-called factorization for the convergence of random variables almost everywhere (almost surely or with probability one), belonging to the classical Lebesgue-Riesz spaces and we extend these results to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-25 Maria Rosaria Formica , Eugeny Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

The thermal non-Gaussianity in Near-Milne universe is investigated in this letter. Through classifying thermal fluctuations into two types, one characterized by a phase transition and the other without phase transition, we show that for…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2010-01-31 Jian-Pin Wu , Yi Ling

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider large-dimensional Hermitian or symmetric random matrices of the form $W=M+\vartheta V$ where $M$ is a Wigner matrix and $V$ is a real diagonal matrix whose entries are independent of $M$. For a large class of diagonal matrices…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Hong Chang Ji , Ji Oon Lee

We present an alternative way to determine the unknown parameter associated to a gaussian approximation in a generic two-dimensional model. Instead of the standard variational approach, we propose a procedure based on a quantitative…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-08-16 Aníbal Iucci , Carlos Naón

Given data drawn from a collection of Gaussian variables with a common mean but different and unknown variances, what is the best algorithm for estimating their common mean? We present an intuitive and efficient algorithm for this task. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Spencer Compton , Gregory Valiant

We study the relative entropy density for generalized Gibbs measures. We first show its existence and obtain a familiar expression in terms of entropy and relative energy for a class of ``almost Gibbsian measures'' (almost sure continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christof Kulske , Arnaud Le Ny , Frank Redig

We apply the approximate dynamics derived from the Gaussian time-dependent variational principle to the Hamiltonian $ \hat H= {1/2}(\hat p_x ^2+ \hat p_y ^2)+ {1/2}\hat x^2\hat y^2$, which is strongly chaotic in the classical limit. We are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Arjendu Pattanayak , William Schieve

Distributional regression is extended to Gaussian response vectors of dimension greater than two by parameterizing the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the response distribution using the entries of its Cholesky decomposition. The more common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Thomas Muschinski , Georg J. Mayr , Thorsten Simon , Nikolaus Umlauf , Achim Zeileis