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Accurate stock price forecasting has consistently remained a pivotal yet challenging FinTech task that underpins quantitative trading and investment decision making. Recent efforts have been dedicated to modeling various complex…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Yong Zhang , Xinxiao Wu , Yunde Jia , Che Sun

Although stochastic volatility and GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have successfully described the volatility dynamics of univariate asset returns, extending them to the multivariate models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-09 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

The paper tackles the problem of deriving a topological structure among stock prices from high frequency historical values. Similar studies using low frequency data have already provided valuable insights. However, in those cases data need…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Donatello Materassi , Giacomo Innocenti

In this paper, the higher order dynamics of individual illiquid stocks are investigated. We show that considering the classical powers correlation could lead to a spurious assessment of the volatility persistency or long memory volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

A reputation of high volatility accompanies the emergence of Bitcoin as a financial asset. This paper intends to nuance this reputation and clarify our understanding of Bitcoin's volatility. Using daily, weekly, and monthly closing prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Nassim Dehouche

Using the peer-exposure ratio, we explore the factor exposure heterogeneity in green and brown stocks. By looking at peer groups of S&P 500 index firms over 2014-2020 based on their greenhouse gas emission levels, we find that, on average,…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-21 David Ardia , Keven Bluteau , Gabriel Lortie-Cloutier , Thien-Duy Tran

We analyze the stability of financial investment networks, where financial institutions hold overlapping portfolios of assets. We consider the effect of portfolio diversification and heterogeneous investments using a random matrix dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-03 Preben Forer , Barak Budnick , Pierpaolo Vivo , Sabrina Aufiero , Silvia Bartolucci , Fabio Caccioli

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

We investigate the recently introduced variety of a set of stock returns traded in a financial market. This investigation is done by considering daily and intraday time horizons in a 15-day time period centered at the August 31st, 1998…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Giovanni Bonanno , Rosario N. Mantegna

The Stock Market is a complex self-interacting system, characterized by an intermittent behaviour. Periods of high activity alternate with periods of relative calm. In the present work we investigate empirically about the possibility that…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 M. Bartolozzi , D. B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

The aim of this article is to briefly review and make new studies of correlations and co-movements of stocks, so as to understand the "seasonalities" and market evolution. Using the intraday data of the CAC40, we begin by reasserting the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Gayatri Tilak , Tamas Szell , Remy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

We study the dynamic interactions and structural changes in global financial indices in the years 1998-2012. We apply a principal component analysis (PCA) to cross-correlation coefficients of the stock indices. We calculate the correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Ashadun Nobi , Jae Woo Lee

Traded corporations are required by law to have a majority of outside directors on their board. This requirement allows the existence of directors who sit on the board of two or more corporations at the same time, generating what is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-27 Serguei Saavedra , Luis J. Gilarranz , Rudolf P. Rohr , Michael Schnabel , Brian Uzzi , Jordi Bascompte

The cross correlation matrix between equities comprises multiple interactions between traders with varying strategies and time horizons. In this paper, we use the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform to calculate correlation matrices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-05 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

We analyze a fixed panel of S\&P 500 stocks from 1996 to 2026 using complementary static and kinetic Ising models applied to daily binary open-to-close movements. The static pairwise model provides a long-run maximum-entropy summary of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Sebin Oh , Marta C. Gonzáleza , Ziqi Wang

We propose that imitation between traders and their herding behaviour not only lead to speculative bubbles with accelerating over-valuations of financial markets possibly followed by crashes, but also to ``anti-bubbles'' with decelerating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Johansen , D. Sornette

The dynamics of the equal-time cross-correlation matrix of multivariate financial time series is explored by examination of the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding time windows. Empirical results for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-02 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

We examine volatility of an Indian stock market in terms of aspects like participation, synchronization of stocks and quantification of volatility using the random matrix approach. Volatility pattern of the market is found using the BSE…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Kulkarni , N. Deo

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

Financial markets are complex adaptive systems characterized by collective behavior and abrupt regime shifts, particularly during crises. This paper studies time-varying dependencies in Nordic equity markets and examines whether…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Maksym A. Girnyk
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