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For hidden Markov models one of the most popular estimates of the hidden chain is the Viterbi path -- the path maximising the posterior probability. We consider a more general setting, called the pairwise Markov model, where the joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Jüri Lember , Joonas Sova

We consider the maximum likelihood (Viterbi) alignment of a hidden Markov model (HMM). In an HMM, the underlying Markov chain is usually hidden and the Viterbi alignment is often used as the estimate of it. This approach will be referred to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

The article studies different methods for estimating the Viterbi path in the Bayesian framework. The Viterbi path is an estimate of the underlying state path in hidden Markov models (HMMs), which has a maximum posterior probability (MAP).…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-14 Jüri Lember , Dario Gasbarra , Alexey Koloydenko , Kristi Kuljus

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

Since the early days of digital communication, Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have now been routinely used in speech recognition, processing of natural languages, images, and in bioinformatics. An HMM $(X_i,Y_i)_{i\ge 1}$ assumes observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-06 J. Lember , A. Koloydenko

To estimate the emission parameters in hidden Markov models one commonly uses the EM algorithm or its variation. Our primary motivation, however, is the Philips speech recognition system wherein the EM algorithm is replaced by the Viterbi…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-17 J. Lember , A. Koloydenko

This paper deals with convergence of the maximum a posterior probability path estimator in hidden Markov models. We show that when the state space of the hidden process is continuous, the optimal path may stabilize in a way which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Pavel Chigansky , Yaacov Ritov

The classic algorithm of Viterbi computes the most likely path in a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that results in a given sequence of observations. It runs in time $O(Tn^2)$ given a sequence of $T$ observations from a HMM with $n$ states.…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Arturs Backurs , Christos Tzamos

For hidden Markov models one of the most popular estimates of the hidden chain is the Viterbi path -- the path maximising the posterior probability. We consider a more general setting, called the pairwise Markov model (PMM), where the joint…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Jüri Lember , Joonas Sova

The infinite Viterbi alignment is the limiting maximum a-posteriori estimate of the unobserved path in a hidden Markov model as the length of the time horizon grows. For models on state-space $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ satisfying a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Nick Whiteley , Matt W. Jones , Aleks P. F. Domanski

Background: Hidden Markov models (HMM) are powerful machine learning tools successfully applied to problems of computational Molecular Biology. In a predictive task, the HMM is endowed with a decoding algorithm in order to assign the most…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Piero Fariselli , Pier Luigi Martelli , Rita Casadio

We propose a simple tractable pair hidden Markov model for pairwise sequence alignment that accounts for the presence of short tandem repeats. Using the framework of gain functions, we design several optimization criteria for decoding this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-31 Michal Nánási , Tomáš Vinař , Broňa Brejová

Since the early days of digital communication, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have now been also routinely used in speech recognition, processing of natural languages, images, and in bioinformatics. In an HMM $(X_i,Y_i)_{i\ge 1}$, observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 J. Lember , A. Koloydenko

We consider probabilistic systems with hidden state and unobservable transitions, an extension of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that in particular admits unobservable {\epsilon}-transitions (also called null transitions), allowing state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Rebecca Bernemann , Barbara König , Matthias Schaffeld , Torben Weis

Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

The article studies segmentation problem (also known as classification problem) with pairwise Markov models (PMMs). A PMM is a process where the observation process and underlying state sequence form a two-dimensional Markov chain, it is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

We consider the problem of estimating the maximum posterior probability (MAP) state sequence for a finite state and finite emission alphabet hidden Markov model (HMM) in the Bayesian setup, where both emission and transition matrices have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-20 Alexey Koloydenko , Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

The EM procedure is a principal tool for parameter estimation in the hidden Markov models. However, applications replace EM by Viterbi extraction, or training (VT). VT is computationally less intensive, more stable and has more of an…

Computation · Statistics 2008-12-18 Jüri Lember , Alexey Koloydenko

We consider a bivariate, possibly non-homogeneous, finite-state Markov chain $(X,U)=\{(X_t,U_t)\}_{t=1}^n$. We are interested in the marginal process $X$, which typically is not a Markov chain. The goal is to find a realization (path)…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-28 Oskar Soop , Jüri Lember

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg
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