Related papers: Extracting information from the signature of a fin…
Signatures, one of the key concepts of rough path theory, have recently gained prominence as a means to find appropriate feature sets in machine learning systems. In this paper, in order to compute signatures directly from discrete data…
Signature-based techniques give mathematical insight into the interactions between complex streams of evolving data. These insights can be quite naturally translated into numerical approaches to understanding streamed data, and perhaps…
The signature of a path is an essential object in the theory of rough paths. The signature representation of the data stream can recover standard statistics, e.g. the moments of the data stream. The classification of random walks indicates…
Rough path theory is focused on capturing and making precise the interactions between highly oscillatory and non-linear systems. It draws on the analysis of LC Young and the geometric algebra of KT Chen. The concepts and the uniform…
We bring the theory of rough paths to the study of non-parametric statistics on streamed data. We discuss the problem of regression where the input variable is a stream of information, and the dependent response is also (potentially) a…
In this article we introduce a portfolio optimisation framework, in which the use of rough path signatures (Lyons, 1998) provides a novel method of incorporating path-dependencies in the joint signal-asset dynamics, naturally extending…
The sequential data observed in earth science can be regarded as paths in multidimensional space. To read the path effectively, it is useful to convert it into a sequence of numbers called the signature, which can faithfully describe the…
We provide an introduction to the topic of path signatures as means of feature extraction for machine learning from data streams. The article stresses the mathematical theory underlying the signature methodology, highlighting the conceptual…
High-frequency quantitative trading strategies have long been of significant interest in futures market. While advanced statistical arbitrage and deep learning enhance high-frequency data processing, they diminish opportunities for…
We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental…
Many finance, physics, and engineering phenomena are modeled by continuous-time dynamical systems driven by highly irregular (stochastic) inputs. A powerful tool to perform time series analysis in this context is rooted in rough path theory…
Financial transactions constitute connections between entities and through these connections a large scale heterogeneous weighted graph is formulated. In this labyrinth of interactions that are continuously updated, there exists a variety…
Signature methods have been widely and effectively used as a tool for feature extraction in statistical learning methods, notably in mathematical finance. They lack, however, interpretability: in the general case, it is unclear why…
Rough path theory provides one with the notion of signature, a graded family of tensors which characterise, up to a negligible equivalence class, and ordered stream of vector-valued data. In the last few years, use of the signature has…
Signatures present on corporate documents are often used in investigations of relationships between persons of interest, and prior research into the task of offline signature verification has evaluated a wide range of methods on standard…
For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…
Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…
Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…
We develop a topology data analysis-based method to detect early signs for critical transitions in financial data. From the time-series of multiple stock prices, we build time-dependent correlation networks, which exhibit topological…
The signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterise a stream of data up to a negligible equivalence class. It is a transform which has previously been treated as a fixed feature transformation, on top of which a…