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We updated the agent based Monte Carlo code HERITAGE that simulates human evolution within restrictive environments such as interstellar, sub-light speed spacecraft in order to include the effects of population genetics. We incorporated a…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 F. Marin , C. Beluffi , F. Fischer

We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the proportional contribution of source populations to a newly founded colony. Samples are derived from the first generation offspring in the colony, but mating may occur preferentially…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Feng Guo , Dipak K. Dey , Kent E. Holsinger

We investigate a simple quantitative genetics model subjet to a gradual environmental change from the viewpoint of the phylogenies of the living individuals. We aim to understand better how the past traits of their ancestors are shaped by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Vincent Calvez , Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

We are interested in the evolving genealogy of a birth and death process with trait structure and ecological interactions. Traits are hereditarily transmitted from a parent to its offspring unless a mutation occurs. The dynamics may depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

The accumulation of beneficial mutations on many competing genetic backgrounds in rapidly adapting populations has a striking impact on evolutionary dynamics. This effect, known as clonal interference, causes erratic fluctuations in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-31 Katya Kosheleva , Michael Desai

The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

We consider a stochastic model of population dynamics where each individual is characterised by a trait in {0,1,...,L} and has a natural reproduction rate, a logistic death rate due to age or competition and a probability of mutation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Anton Bovier , Loren Coquille , Charline Smadi

Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-03 Lloyd T. Elliott , Yee Whye Teh

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We consider a population of N individuals, whose dynamics through time is represented by a biparental Moran model with two types: an advantaged type and a disadvantaged type. The advantage is due to a mutation, transmitted in a Mendelian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

For multitype branching processes with immigration evolving in a random environment and producing a final product we find the tail distribution of the size of the final product accumulated in the system for a life period. Using this result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Vladimir Vatutin

We determine the tail asymptotics of the stationary distribution of a branching process with immigration in a random environment, when the immigration distribution dominates the offspring distribution. The assumptions are the same as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Peter Kevei

We consider a model of a population of fixed size N in which each individual gets replaced at rate one and each individual experiences a mutation at rate \mu. We calculate the asymptotic distribution of the time that it takes before there…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Jason Schweinsberg

We consider a binary branching process structured by a stochastic trait that evolves according to a diffusion process that triggers the branching events, in the spirit of Kimmel's model of cell division with parasite infection. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Marc Hoffmann , Aline Marguet

We study asymptotic behavior of conditional least squares estimators for critical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time (low frequency) observations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Matyas Barczy , Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

We consider immigration processes with binomial catastrophes and random survival parameters. Two sources of randomness are analyzed. In the first model, the survival parameter is independently resampled at each catastrophe. In the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Sandro Gallo , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We aim to understand the evolution of the genetic composition of cancer cell populations. To achieve this, we consider an individual-based model representing a cell population where cells divide, die and mutate along the edges of a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Vianney Brouard

In the present article, we investigate the effects of dormancy on an abstract population genetic level. We first provide a short review of seed bank models in population genetics, and the role of dormancy for the interplay of evolutionary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Jochen Blath , Noemi Kurt