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Power-law probability distributions are widely used to model extreme statistical events in complex systems, with applications to a vast array of natural phenomena ranging from earthquakes to stock market crashes to pandemics. We show that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Wai-Keong Mok

The large deviations analysis of solutions to stochastic differential equations and related processes is often based on approximation. The construction and justification of the approximations can be onerous, especially in the case where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Vasileios Maroulas

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2, \dots$ be i.i.d. non-negative random variables whose tail varies regularly with index $-1$, let $S_n$ be the sum and $M_n$ the largest of the first $n$ values. We clarify for which sequences $x_n\to\infty$ we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Matthias Birkner , Linglong Yuan

The theory of large deviations constitutes a mathematical cornerstone in the foundations of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics, based on the additive entropy $S_{BG}=- k_B\sum_{i=1}^W p_i \ln p_i$. Its optimization under appropriate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-31 Guiomar Ruiz , Constantino Tsallis

In this paper, we characterize the noise of stochastic gradients and analyze the noise-induced dynamics during training deep neural networks by gradient-based optimizers. Specifically, we firstly show that the stochastic gradient noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Yixin Wu , Rui Luo , Chen Zhang , Jun Wang , Yaodong Yang

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

In this paper, we establish a small time large deviation principle for the strong solution of 3D stochastic primitive equations driven by multiplicative noise. Both the small noise and the small, but highly nonlinear, unbounded nonlinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Zhao Dong , Rangrang Zhang

This paper is mainly concerned with the large deviation principle of the fractional McKean-Vlasov stochastic reaction-diffusion equation defined on R^n with polynomial drift of any degree. We first prove the well-posedness of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Zhang Chen , Bixiang Wang

We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 José M. Zapata

We consider moderately trimmed sums of non-negative i.i.d. random variables. We show that for every distribution function there exists a proper moderate trimming such that for the trimmed sum a non-trivial strong law of large numbers holds.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been widely used in machine learning due to its computational efficiency and favorable generalization properties. Recently, it has been empirically demonstrated that the gradient noise in several deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Umut Şimşekli , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Gaël Richard

We prove a large deviation principle result for solutions of abstract stochastic evolution equations perturbed by small Levy noise. We use general large deviations theorems of Varadhan and Bryc, viscosity solutions of integro-partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Andrzej Swiech , Jerzy Zabczyk

We study the large deviation function for the empirical measure of diffusing particles at one fixed position. We find that the large deviation function exhibits anomalous system size dependence in systems that satisfy the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-20 Naoto Shiraishi

We study product regular conditional probabilities under measures of two coordinates with respect to the second coordinate that are weakly continuous on the support of the marginal of the second coordinate. Assuming that there exists a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Willem van Zuijlen

Using the weak convergence approach, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for solutions to quasilinear stochastic evolution equations with small Gaussian noise in the critical variational setting, a recently developed general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Esmée Theewis , Mark Veraar

In this work we consider solutions to stochastic partial differential equations with transport noise, which are known to converge, in a suitable scaling limit, to solution of the corresponding deterministic PDE with an additional viscosity…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Lucio Galeati , Dejun Luo

Large deviation principle by the weak convergence approach is established for the stochastic nonlinear Schrodinger equation in one-dimension and as an application the exit problem is investigated.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Parisa Fatheddin , Zhaoyang Qiu