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We study the large deviation behavior of lacunary sums $(S_n/n)_{n\in \mathbb{N} }$ with $S_n:= \sum_{k=1}^n f(a_kU)$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $U$ is uniformly distributed on $[0,1]$, $(a_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an Hadamard gap sequence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Lorenz Frühwirth , Joscha Prochno , Michael Juhos

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

This article studies large and local large deviations for sums of i.i.d. real-valued random variables in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law, $\alpha\in (0,2]$, with emphasis on the case $\alpha=2$. There are two different…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Quentin Berger , Matthias Birkner , Linglong Yuan

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for stochastic differential delay equations driven by both Brownian motions and Poisson random measures. The weak convergence method plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Yumeng Li , Ran Wang , Nian Yao , Shuguang Zhang

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

We prove the large deviation principle for the law of the solutions to a class of parabolic semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by multiplicative noise, in $C\big([0,T]:L^\rho(D)\big)$, where $D\subset {\mathbb R}^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Leila Setayeshgar

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

We study the stochastic recursion $X_n=\Psi_n(X_{n-1})$, where $(\Psi_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz mappings close to the random affine transformation $x\mapsto Ax+B$. We describe the tail behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Ewa Damek , Bartosz Kołodziejek

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

Kesten's stochastic recurrent equation is a classical subject of research in probability theory and its applications. Recently, it has garnered attention as a model for stochastic gradient descent with a quadratic objective function and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Chang-Han Rhee , Jeeho Ryu , Insuk Seo

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sean P. Meyn

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Stretched exponential probability density functions (pdf), having the form of the exponential of minus a fractional power of the argument, are commonly found in turbulence and other areas. They can arise because of an underlying random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 U. Frisch , D. Sornette

We demonstrate the large deviation principle in the small noise limit for the mild solution of stochastic evolution equations with monotone nonlinearity. A recently developed method, weak convergent method, has been employed in studying the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Hassan Dadashi

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for a type of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with locally monotone coefficients driven by L\'evy noise. The weak convergence method plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-08 Jie Xiong , Jianliang Zhai

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov