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Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Gaussian comparison theorems are useful tools in probability theory; they are essential ingredients in the classical proofs of many results in empirical processes and extreme value theory. More recently, they have been used extensively in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Christos Thrampoulidis , Samet Oymak , Babak Hassibi

A novel unified Bayesian framework for network detection is developed, under which a detection algorithm is derived based on random walks on graphs. The algorithm detects threat networks using partial observations of their activity, and is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Steven T. Smith , Edward K. Kao , Kenneth D. Senne , Garrett Bernstein , Scott Philips

Bayesian supervised predictive classifiers, hypothesis testing, and parametric estimation under Partition Exchangeability are implemented. The two classifiers presented are the marginal classifier (that assumes test data is i.i.d.) next to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ville Kinnula , Jing Tang , Ali Amiryousefi

We address a broad class of optimization problems of finding quantum measurements, which includes the problems of finding an optimal measurement in the Bayes criterion and a measurement maximizing the average success probability with a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-23 Kenji Nakahira , Kentaro Kato , Tsuyoshi Sasaki Usuda

Bayesian methods for low-rank matrix completion with noise have been shown to be very efficient computationally. While the behaviour of penalized minimization methods is well understood both from the theoretical and computational points of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-08 The Tien Mai , Pierre Alquier

Bayesian optimisation requires fitting a Gaussian process model, which in turn requires specifying prior on the unknown black-box function -- most of the theoretical literature assumes this prior is known. However, it is common to have more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Juliusz Ziomek , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne

The group testing problem asks for efficient pooling schemes and algorithms that allow to screen moderately large numbers of samples for rare infections. The goal is to accurately identify the infected samples while conducting the least…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-19 AminCoja-Oghlan , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Philipp Loick , Manuel Penschuck

One-step ahead prediction for the multinomial model is considered. The performance of a predictive density is evaluated by the average Kullback-Leibler divergence from the true density to the predictive density. Asymptotic approximations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

For exponentially distributed lifetimes, we consider the prediction of future order statistics based on having observed the first $m$ order statistics. We focus on the previously less explored aspects of predicting: (i) an arbitrary pair of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Akbar Asgharzadeh , Éric Marchand , Ali Saadati Nik

We consider the problems of confidence estimation and hypothesis testing on a parameter of signal observed in Gaussian white noise. For these problems we point out lower bounds of asymptotic efficiency in the zone of moderate deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Mikhail Ermakov

This paper considers the noisy group testing problem where among a large population of items some are defective. The goal is to identify all defective items by testing groups of items, with the minimum possible number of tests. The focus of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Esmaeil Karimi , Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Krishna R. Narayanan , Alex Sprintson

Identifying communities in networks is a fundamental and challenging problem of practical importance in many fields of science. Current methods either ignore the heterogeneous distribution of nodal degrees or assume prior knowledge of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Xin-Jian Xu , Cheng Chen , J. F. F. Mendes

In many statistical problems, stochastic signals can be represented as a sequence of noisy wavelet coefficients. In this paper, we develop general empirical Bayes methods for the estimation of true signal. Our estimators approximate certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We study an optimized measurement that discriminates two mixed quantum states with maximum confidence for each conclusive result, thereby keeping the overall probability of inconclusive results as small as possible. When the rank of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Ulrike Herzog

The start of LHC has motivated an effort to determine the relative probability of the different regions of the MSSM parameter space, taking into account the present, theoretical and experimental, wisdom about the model. Since the present…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-11-18 M. E. Cabrera , J. A. Casas , R. Ruiz de Austri

Full Bayesian posteriors are rarely analytically tractable, which is why real-world Bayesian inference heavily relies on approximate techniques. Approximations generally differ from the true posterior and require diagnostic tools to assess…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Luca Rendsburg , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig , Ulrike von Luxburg