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In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-28 Holger Dette , Christophe Ley , Francisco Javier Rubio

We propose an objective non-local prior for testing symmetry against skew-symmetric alternatives. The prior is derived through a formal construction rule by assigning a uniform distribution to a discrepancy-based measure of the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 F. J. Rubio

While Jeffreys priors usually are well-defined for the parameters of mixtures of distributions, they are not available in closed form. Furthermore, they often are improper priors. Hence, they have never been used to draw inference on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-22 Clara Grazian , Christian Robert

While Jeffreys priors usually are well-defined for the parameters of mixtures of distributions, they are not available in closed form. Furthermore, they often are improper priors. Hence, they have never been used to draw inference on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-13 Clara Grazian , Christian P. Robert

We study Bayesian linear regression models with skew-symmetric scale mixtures of normal error distributions. These kinds of models can be used to capture departures from the usual assumption of normality of the errors in terms of heavy…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-12 Francisco J. Rubio , Marc G. Genton

To include parameter uncertainty into probabilistic climate forecasts one must first specify a prior. We advocate the use of objective priors, and, in particular, the Jeffreys' Prior. In previous work we have derived expressions for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-05-14 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

This work investigates the effects of using the independent Jeffreys prior for the degrees of freedom parameter of a Student-t model in the asymmetric generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. To capture…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-04 T. C. O. Fonseca , V. S. Cerqueira , H. S. Migon , C. A. C. Torres

Motivated by the statistical evaluation of complex computer models, we deal with the issue of objective prior specification for the parameters of Gaussian processes. In particular, we derive the Jeffreys-rule, independence Jeffreys and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rui Paulo

Objective probabilistic forecasts of future climate that include parameter uncertainty can be made by using the Bayesian prediction integral with the prior set to Jeffreys' Prior. The calculations involved in determining the prior can then…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-05-24 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

Motivated by the analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of the skew-normal distribution, showing that they lead to closed-form…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-15 Antonio Canale , Bruno Scarpa

We propose a flexible class of models based on scale mixture of uniform distributions to construct shrinkage priors for covariance matrix estimation. This new class of priors enjoys a number of advantages over the traditional scale mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-10-07 Hao Wang , Natesh S. Pillai

The family of skew-symmetric distributions is a wide set of probability density functions obtained by combining in a suitable form a few components which are selectable quite freely provided some simple requirements are satisfied. Intense…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-22 Adelchi Azzalini , Giuliana Regoli

We consider a class of non-conjugate priors as a mixing family of distributions for a parameter (e.g., Poisson or gamma rate, inverse scale or precision of an inverse-gamma, inverse variance of a normal distribution) of an exponential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Dexter Cahoy , Joseph Sedransk

We consider the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox from an objective Bayesian perspective by attempting to find priors representing complete indifference to sample size in the problem. This means that we ensure that the prior for the unknown mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Andrew Fowlie

The construction of objective priors is, at best, challenging for multidimensional parameter spaces. A common practice is to assume independence and set up the joint prior as the product of marginal distributions obtained via "standard"…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Regression models with fat-tailed error terms are an increasingly popular choice to obtain more robust inference to the presence of outlying observations. This article focuses on Bayesian inference for the Student-$t$ linear regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-11 Catalina A. Vallejos , Mark F. J. Steel

Use of continuous shrinkage priors -- with a "spike" near zero and heavy-tails towards infinity -- is an increasingly popular approach to induce sparsity in parameter estimates. When the parameters are only weakly identified by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Akihiko Nishimura , Marc A. Suchard

In many situations we are interested in modeling real data where the response distribution, even conditionally on the covariates, presents asymmetry and/or heavy/light tails. In these situations, it is more suitable to consider models based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 João Victor B. de Freitas , Caio L. N. Azevedo

This paper considers the topic of finding prior distributions when a major component of the statistical model depends on a nonlinear function. Using results on how to construct uniform distributions in general metric spaces, we propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-09 Björn Bornkamp
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