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The ability to accurately forecast power generation from renewable sources is nowadays recognised as a fundamental skill to improve the operation of power systems. Despite the general interest of the power community in this topic, it is not…

We present an approach that uses a deep learning model, in particular, a MultiLayer Perceptron (MLP), for estimating the missing values of a variable in multivariate time series data. We focus on filling a long continuous gap (e.g.,…

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

Time series forecasters are widely used across various domains. Among them, MLP (multi-layer perceptron)-based forecasters have been proven to be more robust to noise compared to Transformer-based forecasters. However, MLP struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Xiang Ao

The growth in variable renewables such as solar and wind is increasing the impact of climate uncertainty in energy system planning. Addressing this ideally requires high-resolution time series spanning at least a few decades. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-18 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The historical Hungarian auroral record extends from 1523 to 1960 and is longer than the sunspot record. Harmonic analysis reveals four major multidecadal secular cycles forming an approximate harmonic set at periods of 42.85, 57.13, 85.7…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-02-12 Nicola Scafetta , Richard C. Willson

This paper presents and evaluates the performance of an optimal scheduling algorithm that selects the on/off combinations and timing of a finite set of dynamic electric loads on the basis of short term predictions of the power delivery from…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-27 Abdulelah H Habib , Zachary K Pecena , Vahid R Disfani , Jan Kleissl , Raymond A. de Callafon

We developed Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models to predict the formation of active regions (ARs) on the solar surface. Using the Doppler shift velocity, the continuum intensity, and the magnetic field observations from the Solar Dynamics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-27 Spiridon Kasapis , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , John T. Stefan

Solar wind conditions are predominantly predicted via three-dimensional numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models. Despite their ability to produce highly accurate predictions, MHD models require computationally intensive high-dimensional…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 Opal Issan , Boris Kramer

Improving the performance of solar flare forecasting is a hot topic in solar physics research field. Deep learning has been considered a promising approach to perform solar flare forecasting in recent years. We first used the Generative…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Zheng Deng , Feng Wang , Hui Deng , Lei Tan , Linhua Deng , Song Feng

The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

Long-term hourly time series representing the PV generation in European countries have been obtained and made available under open license. For every country, four different PV configurations, i.e. rooftop, optimum tilt, tracking, and delta…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Marta Victoria , Gorm B. Andresen

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

We propose two algorithms that use both models and datasets to estimate angular power spectra from channel covariance matrices in massive MIMO systems. The first algorithm is an iterative fixed-point method that solves a hierarchical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Renato Luis Garrido Cavalcante , Slawomir Stanczak

The variation of solar irradiance is one of the natural forcing mechanisms of the terrestrial climate. Hence, the time-dependent solar irradiance is an important input parameter for climate modelling. The solar surface magnetic field is a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-11 Omar Ashamari , Rami Qahwaji , Stan Ipson , Micha Scholl , Omar Nibouche , Margit Haberreiter

In the present work, we collect solar irradiance and atmospheric condition data from several products, obtained from both numerical models (ERA5 and NORA3) and satellite observations (CMSAF-SARAH3). We then train simple supervised Machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 J Rabault , ML Sætra , A Dobler , S Eastwood , E Berge

Adverse space weather effects can often be traced to solar flares, prediction of which has drawn significant research interests. The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces full-disk vector magnetograms with continuous high cadence,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Chang Liu , Na Deng , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects of LHF in this period and how deep learning has incorporated variants of trend, seasonality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Hans Krupakar , Kandappan V A