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We focus on the problem of estimating and quantifying uncertainties on the excursion set of a function under a limited evaluation budget. We adopt a Bayesian approach where the objective function is assumed to be a realization of a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Dario Azzimonti , Julien Bect , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

We establish here a Quantitative Central Limit Theorem (in Wasserstein distance) for the Euler-Poincar\'{e} Characteristic of excursion sets of random spherical eigenfunctions in dimension 2. Our proof is based upon a decomposition of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Valentina Cammarota , Domenico Marinucci

A notion of convergence of excursion measures is introduced. It is proved that convergence of excursion measures implies convergence in law of the processes pieced together from excursions. This result is applied to obtain homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-14 Kouji Yano

We study the energy landscape of a model of a single particle on a random potential, that is, we investigate the topology of level sets of smooth random fields on $\mathbb R^{N}$ of the form $X_N(x) +\frac\mu2 \|x\|^2,$ where $X_{N}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-29 Antonio Auffinger , Qiang Zeng

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

We establish finite-dimensional central limit theorems for local, additive, interaction functions of temporally evolving point processes. The dynamics are those of a spatial Poisson process on the flat torus with points subject to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Efe Onaran , Omer Bobrowski , Robert J. Adler

Let $\{X(\mathbf{t}):\mathbf{t}=(t_1, t_2, \ldots, t_d)\in[0,\infty)^d\}$ be a centered stationary Gaussian field with almost surely continuous sample paths, unit variance and correlation function $r$ satisfying conditions $r(\mathbf{t})<1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Natalia Soja-Kukieła

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

The structure of Gaussian random fields over high levels is a well researched and well understood area, particularly if the field is smooth. However, the question as to whether or not two or more points which lie in an excursion set belong…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Robert J. Adler , Elina Moldavskaya , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We present a method, based on the correlation function of excursion sets above a given threshold, to test the Gaussianity of the CMB temperature fluctuations in the sky. In particular, this method can be applied to discriminate between…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz , E. Martinez-Gonzalez , J. Silk

Let $r=r(n)$ be a sequence of integers such that $r\leq n$ and let $X_1,\ldots,X_{r+1}$ be independent random points distributed according to the Gaussian, the Beta or the spherical distribution on $\mathbb{R}^n$. Limit theorems for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Julian Grote , Zakhar Kabluchko , Christoph Thäle

The present work investigates two properties of level crossings of a stationary Gaussian process $X(t)$ with autocorrelation function $R_X(\tau)$. We show firstly that if $R_X(\tau)$ admits finite second and fourth derivatives at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-01 Van Minh Nguyen

We consider the evolution of a connected set on the plane carried by a periodic incompressible stochastic flow. While for almost every realization of the random flow at time t most of the particles are at a distance of order sqrt{t} away…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Vadim Kaloshin , Leonid Koralov

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

We prove empirical central limit theorems for the distribution of levels of various random fields defined on high-dimensional discrete structures as the dimension of the structure goes to $\infty$. The random fields considered include costs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-08 Zakhar Kabluchko

In this paper, we derive the limit of experiments for one parameter Ising models on dense regular graphs. In particular, we show that the limiting experiment is Gaussian in the low temperature regime, non Gaussian in the critical regime,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Yuanzhe Xu , Sumit Mukherjee

We consider supercritical branching random walks on transitive graphs and we prove a law of large numbers for the mean displacement of the ensemble of particles, and a Stam-type central limit theorem for the empirical distributions, thus…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Robin Kaiser , Martin Klötzer , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

In this paper, by using the exact tail asymptotics derived by Debicki, Hashorva and Ji (Ann. Probab. 2014), we proved the Gumbel limit theorem for the maximum of a class of non-homogeneous Gaussian random fields. By using the obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Zhongquan Tan

We study an extended dynamical system on the non-negative real line with piecewise linear non-uniformly expanding local dynamics. With a uniformly distributed initial state, the distribution of successive states coincides with that of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Juho Leppänen