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We study the problem of determining an effective exploration strategy in static and non-linear optimization problems, which depend on an unknown scalar parameter to be learned from online collected noisy data. An optimal trade-off between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Ying Wang , Mirko Pasquini , Kévin Colin , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper extends the core results of discrete time infinite horizon dynamic programming to the case of state-dependent discounting. We obtain a condition on the discount factor process under which all of the standard optimality results…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-15 John Stachurski , Junnan Zhang

Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

We consider online learning when the time horizon is unknown. We apply a minimax analysis, beginning with the fixed horizon case, and then moving on to two unknown-horizon settings, one that assumes the horizon is chosen randomly according…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Haipeng Luo , Robert E. Schapire

We consider the infinite-horizon, average-reward restless bandit problem in discrete time. We propose a new class of policies that are designed to drive a progressively larger subset of arms toward the optimal distribution. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Yige Hong , Qiaomin Xie , Yudong Chen , Weina Wang

In this paper, we address the efficient implementation of moving horizon state estimation of constrained discrete-time linear systems. We propose a novel iteration scheme which employs a proximity-based formulation of the underlying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Meriem Gharbi , Bahman Gharesifard , Christian Ebenbauer

We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process $X$. We consider classic and randomized stopping times represented by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Christian Bayer , Paul Hager , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

This work addresses the finite-horizon robust covariance control problem for discrete-time, partially observable, linear system affected by random zero mean noise and deterministic but unknown disturbances restricted to lie in what is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Georgios Kotsalis , Guanghui Lan , Arkadi Nemirovski

Early stopping is a simple and widely used method to prevent over-training neural networks. We develop theoretical results to reveal the relationship between the optimal early stopping time and model dimension as well as sample size of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Ruoqi Shen , Liyao Gao , Yi-An Ma

In this paper, we address the stochastic representation problem in discrete time under (non-linear) g-expectation. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution, as well as a characterization of the solution. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Miryana Grigorova , Hanwu Li

We extend stochastic network optimization theory to treat networks with arbitrary sample paths for arrivals, channels, and mobility. The network can experience unexpected link or node failures, traffic bursts, and topology changes, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-07 Michael J. Neely

We consider a family of learning strategies for online optimization problems that evolve in continuous time and we show that they lead to no regret. From a more traditional, discrete-time viewpoint, this continuous-time approach allows us…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Joon Kwon , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Kshama Dwarakanath , Danial Dervovic , Peyman Tavallali , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Optimal control problems with a very large time horizon can be tackled with the Receding Horizon Control (RHC) method, which consists in solving a sequence of optimal control problems with small prediction horizon. The main result of this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Tobias Breiten , Laurent Pfeiffer

We propose a method for approximating solutions to optimization problems involving the global stability properties of parameter-dependent continuous-time autonomous dynamical systems. The method relies on an approximation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-12 Péter Koltai , Alexander Volf

We consider a class of discretionary stopping problems within the $G$-framework. We first establish the well-definedness of the stopping problem under the $G$-expectation, by showing the quasi-continuity of the stopped process. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Xin Guo , Chen Pan , Shige Peng

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

We present a method to solve optimal stopping problems in infinite horizon for a L\'evy process when the reward function can be non-monotone. To solve the problem we introduce two new objects. Firstly, we define a random variable $\eta(x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Elena Boguslavskaya

We study a finite-horizon stochastic control criterion for non-convex optimization in which Brownian exploration is balanced against a quadratic control cost. Rather than emphasizing the classical Hopf--Cole representation, we isolate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Qin Li , Sixu Li , Eitan Tadmor , Emmanuel Trélat