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The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

We propose an improved estimator for the multi-task averaging problem, whose goal is the joint estimation of the means of multiple distributions using separate, independent data sets. The naive approach is to take the empirical mean of each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-16 Hannah Marienwald , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Gilles Blanchard

We propose an optimal algorithm for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) when response functions lie in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). We study settings in which the contrast function is structurally simpler…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Seok-Jin Kim

We study the cost of overfitting in noisy kernel ridge regression (KRR), which we define as the ratio between the test error of the interpolating ridgeless model and the test error of the optimally-tuned model. We take an "agnostic" view in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lijia Zhou , James B. Simon , Gal Vardi , Nathan Srebro

In this paper we study a single machine scheduling problem with the objective of minimizing the sum of completion times. Each of the given jobs is either short or long. However the processing times are initially hidden to the algorithm, but…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Fanny Dufossé , Christoph Dürr , Noël Nadal , Denis Trystram , Óscar C. Vásquez

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is widely used for nonparametric regression over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. It offers powerful modeling capabilities at the cost of significant computational costs, which typically require $O(n^3)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Xiaowu Dai , Huiying Zhong

Kernel ridge regression is an important nonparametric method for estimating smooth functions. We introduce a new set of conditions, under which the actual rates of convergence of the kernel ridge regression estimator under both the L_2 norm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Rui Tuo , Yan Wang , C. F. Jeff Wu

We consider correlated \emph{factor} regression models (FRM) and analyze the performance of classical ridge interpolators. Utilizing powerful \emph{Random Duality Theory} (RDT) mathematical engine, we obtain \emph{precise} closed form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mihailo Stojnic

The paradigm of multi-task learning is that one can achieve better generalization by learning tasks jointly and thus exploiting the similarity between the tasks rather than learning them independently of each other. While previously the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-19 Pratik Jawanpuria , Maksim Lapin , Matthias Hein , Bernt Schiele

Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 David Bruns-Smith , Zhongming Xie , Avi Feller

Algorithms for reinforcement learning (RL) in large state spaces crucially rely on supervised learning subroutines to estimate objects such as value functions or transition probabilities. Since only the simplest supervised learning problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Dhruv Rohatgi , Dylan J. Foster

We study the combinatorial semi-bandit problem where an agent selects a subset of base arms and receives individual feedback. While this generalizes the classical multi-armed bandit and has broad applicability, its scalability is limited by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Jung-hun Kim , Milan Vojnović , Min-hwan Oh

Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

Curriculum learning (CL) is a commonly used machine learning training strategy. However, we still lack a clear theoretical understanding of CL's benefits. In this paper, we study the benefits of CL in the multitask linear regression problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ziping Xu , Ambuj Tewari

Multi-fidelity methods that use an ensemble of models to compute a Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation of a high-fidelity model can significantly reduce computational costs compared to single-model approaches. These methods use oracle…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-12 Thomas Dixon , Alex Gorodetsky , John Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

The one-class kernel spectral regression (OC-KSR), the regression-based formulation of the kernel null-space approach has been found to be an effective Fisher criterion-based methodology for one-class classification (OCC), achieving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Shervin Rahimzadeh Arashloo , Josef Kittler

Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-03 Alberto Abadie , Maximilian Kasy

In the presence of a missing response, reweighting the complete case subsample by the inverse of nonmissing probability is both intuitive and easy to implement. When the population totals of some auxiliary variables are known and when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

Multi-target linear shrinkage is an extension of the standard single-target linear shrinkage for covariance estimation. We combine several constant matrices - the targets - with the sample covariance matrix. We derive the oracle and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Benoit Oriol

The problem of learning functions over spaces of probabilities - or distribution regression - is gaining significant interest in the machine learning community. A key challenge behind this problem is to identify a suitable representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Dimitri Meunier , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto