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We propose and analyze a new class of controlled multi-type branching processes with a per-step linear resource constraint, motivated by potential applications in viral marketing and cancer treatment. We show that the optimal exponential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Shie Mannor , Kuang Xu

Model selection consists in comparing several candidate models according to a metric to be optimized. The process often involves a grid search, or such, and cross-validation, which can be time consuming, as well as not providing much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Anthea Mérida Montes de Oca , Argyris Kalogeratos , Mathilde Mougeot

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

Fluid properties near rough surfaces are crucial in describing fundamental surface phenomena and modern industrial material design implementations. One of the most powerful approaches to model real rough materials is based on the surface…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-10 Aleksey Khlyupin , Timur Aslyamov

We propose an efficient strategy to suppress epidemic explosion in heterogeneous metapopulation networks, wherein each node represents a subpopulation with any number of individuals and is assigned a curing rate that is proportional to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-15 Chuansheng Shen , Hanshuang Chen , Zhonghuai Hou

In this paper we consider a model based on branching process theory for the proliferation and the dissemination network of T cells in the adaptive immune response. A multi-type Galton Watson branching process is assumed as the basic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-09 Alessandro Boianelli , Antonio Vicino

We study random walk on complex networks with transition probabilities which depend on the current and previously visited nodes. By using an absorbing Markov chain we derive an exact expression for the mean first passage time between pairs…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-14 Lasko Basnarkov , Miroslav Mirchev , Ljupco Kocarev

The methodology based on the random walk processes is adapted and applied to a comprehensive analysis of the statistical properties of the probability fluxes. To this aim we define a simple model of the Markovian stochastic dynamics on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 Przemyslaw Chelminiak , Michal Kurzynski

Understanding the evolution of binary traits, which affects the birth and survival of species and also the rate of molecular evolution, remains challenging. A typical example is the evolution of mating systems in plant species. In this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-04 Daniah Tahir , Sylvain Glémin , Martin Lascoux , Ingemar Kaj

The rapid compaction of granular media results in localized heating that can induce chemical reactions, phase transformations, and melting. However, there are numerous mechanisms in play that can be dependent on a variety of microstructural…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-05-16 Brenden W Hamilton , Timothy C. Germann

Stochastic branching processes are a classical model for describing random trees, which have applications in numerous fields including biology, physics, and natural language processing. In particular, they have recently been proposed to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Taolue Chen , Klaus Dräger , Stefan Kiefer

Reaction networks in the bulk and on surfaces are widespread in physical, chemical and biological systems. In macroscopic systems, which include large populations of reactive species, stochastic fluctuations are negligible and the reaction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-12 Baruch Barzel , Ofer Biham , Raz Kupferman

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

Random forests are decision tree ensembles that can be used to solve a variety of machine learning problems. However, as the number of trees and their individual size can be large, their decision making process is often incomprehensible. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Nico Potyka , Xiang Yin , Francesca Toni

As neural networks have begun performing increasingly critical tasks for society, ranging from driving cars to identifying candidates for drug development, the value of their ability to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) in their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-01 Nathan Wycoff , Prasanna Balaprakash , Fangfang Xia

Metabolites, small molecules that are involved in cellular reactions, provide a direct functional signature of cellular state. Untargeted metabolomics experiments usually relies on tandem mass spectrometry to identify the thousands of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-29 Kai Dührkop , Sebastian Böcker

Complex biological networks, encompassing metabolic pathways, gene regulatory systems, and protein-protein interaction networks, often exhibit scale-free structures characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, empirical…

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