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In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

Current statistical models for structured prediction make simplifying assumptions about the underlying output graph structure, such as assuming a low-order Markov chain, because exact inference becomes intractable as the tree-width of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-26 Xu Miao , Rajesh P. N. Rao

Gaussian processes are typically used for smoothing and interpolation on small datasets. We introduce a new Bayesian nonparametric framework -- GPatt -- enabling automatic pattern extrapolation with Gaussian processes on large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Elad Gilboa , Arye Nehorai , John P. Cunningham

Recently, graph neural networks (GNNs) have proved to be suitable in tasks on unstructured data. Particularly in tasks as community detection, node classification, and link prediction. However, most GNN models still operate with static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Darwin Saire Pilco , Adín Ramírez Rivera

This tutorial aims to provide an intuitive introduction to Gaussian process regression (GPR). GPR models have been widely used in machine learning applications due to their representation flexibility and inherent capability to quantify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Jie Wang

Gaussian graphical models are relevant tools to learn conditional independence structure between variables. In this class of models, Bayesian structure learning is often done by search algorithms over the graph space. The conjugate prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Reza Mohammadi , Helene Massam , Gerard Letac

We present a theoretically grounded Gaussian process framework that leverages neural feature maps to construct expressive kernels. We show that the learned feature map can be interpreted as an optimal low-rank approximation to a Gram matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anthony Stephenson

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Tristan Deleu , António Góis , Chris Emezue , Mansi Rankawat , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Stefan Bauer , Yoshua Bengio

The Gaussian Process with a deep kernel is an extension of the classic GP regression model and this extended model usually constructs a new kernel function by deploying deep learning techniques like long short-term memory networks. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Yong Shi , Wei Dai , Wen Long , Bo Li

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

This paper proposes a model learning Semi-parametric relationships in an Expert Bayesian Network (SEBN) with linear parameter and structure constraints. We use Gaussian Processes and a Horseshoe prior to introduce minimal nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Yidou Weng , Finale Doshi-Velez

Recently, there has been much interest in finding globally optimal Bayesian network structures. These techniques were developed for generative scores and can not be directly extended to discriminative scores, as desired for classification.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Robert Peharz , Franz Pernkopf

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Frank Wood , Thomas Griffiths , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

In this paper, learning of tree-structured Gaussian graphical models from distributed data is addressed. In our model, samples are stored in a set of distributed machines where each machine has access to only a subset of features. A central…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Mostafa Tavassolipour , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari , Mohammad-Taghi Manzuri Shalmani

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani