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As a future trend of healthcare, personalized medicine tailors medical treatments to individual patients. It requires to identify a subset of patients with the best response to treatment. The subset can be defined by a biomarker (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-16 Yitao Lu , Julie Zhou , Li Xing , Xuekui Zhang

In many clinical trials, individuals in different subgroups have experience differential treatment effects. This leads to individualized differences in treatment benefit. In this article, we introduce the general concept of predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Debashis Ghosh , Youngjoo Cho

We introduce several methods for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding in marginal structural models; importantly we allow treatments to be discrete or continuous, static or time-varying. We consider three sensitivity models: a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Interactive segmentation is a promising strategy for building robust, generalisable algorithms for volumetric medical image segmentation. However, inconsistent and clinically unrealistic evaluation hinders fair comparison and misrepresents…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Parhom Esmaeili , Virginia Fernandez , Pedro Borges , Eli Gibson , Sebastien Ourselin , M. Jorge Cardoso

We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. We develop an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Tianyu Zhang , Hao Lee , Jing Lei

Data-driven individualized decision making has recently received increasing research interests. Most existing methods rely on the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, which unfortunately cannot be ensured in practice especially in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Zhengling Qi , Rui Miao , Xiaoke Zhang

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is characterized by subtle changes in cognitive functions, often associated with disruptions in brain connectivity. The present study introduces a novel fine-grained analysis to examine topological…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Ninad Aithal , Debanjali Bhattacharya , Neelam Sinha , Thomas Gregor Issac

Selecting between competing statistical models is a challenging problem especially when the competing models are non-nested. In this paper we offer a simple solution by devising an algorithm which combines MCMC and importance sampling to…

The concept of personalised medicine in cancer therapy is becoming increasingly important. There already exist drugs administered specifically for patients with tumours presenting well-defined mutations. However, the field is still in its…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-26 Abbi Abdel-Rehim , Oghenejokpeme Orhobor , Gareth Griffiths , Larisa Soldatova , Ross D. King

In clinical applications, the utility of segmentation models is often based on the accuracy of derived downstream metrics such as organ size, rather than by the pixel-level accuracy of the segmentation masks themselves. Thus, uncertainty…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Matt Y. Cheung , Ashok Veeraraghavan , Guha Balakrishnan

Intensive Care Unit (ICU) mortality prediction, which estimates a patient's mortality status at discharge using EHRs collected early in an ICU admission, is vital in critical care. For this task, predictive accuracy alone is insufficient;…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Qingwen Li , Xiaohang Zhao , Xiao Han , Hailiang Huang , Lanjuan Liu

Progress in Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) is hindered by the lack of standardized and reusable evaluation practices across tasks, datasets, and application domains. Reported results are often difficult to reproduce and compare, as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Lev Telyatnikov , Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Olga Fink

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Clinical prediction models are estimated using a sample of limited size from the target population, leading to uncertainty in predictions, even when the model is correctly specified. Generally, not all patient profiles are observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Doranne Thomassen , Saskia le Cessie , Hans van Houwelingen , Ewout Steyerberg

The Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC) is a powerful statistic to identify dependencies between variables. However, it may be applied to sensitive data, and publishing it could leak private information. As a solution, we present…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-23 John Lazarsfeld , Aaron Johnson , Emmanuel Adeniran

Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Peng Wu , Xiaojie Mao

We consider the problem of estimating fold-changes in the expected value of a multivariate outcome observed with unknown sample-specific and category-specific perturbations. This challenge arises in high-throughput sequencing studies of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 David S Clausen , Sarah Teichman , Amy D Willis

Emergency triage decisions are made under severe information constraints, yet most data-driven deterioration models are evaluated using signals unavailable during initial assessment. We present a leakage-aware benchmarking framework for…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-31 KMA Solaiman , Joshua Sebastian , Karma Tobden

Quantitative decision-making (QDM) principles address the issues related to the mapping of results to decisions, the synthesis of information and the quantification of uncertainty. Since the clinical drug development involves a succession…

Evaluating classifications is crucial in statistics and machine learning, as it influences decision-making across various fields, such as patient prognosis and therapy in critical conditions. The Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Yuki Itaya , Jun Tamura , Kenichi Hayashi , Kouji Yamamoto