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The sequential sampling of populations with unequal probabilities and with replacement in a closed population is a recurrent problem in ecology and evolution. Many of these questions can be reformulated as urn problems, often as special…

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

Feature allocation models generalize species sampling models by allowing every observation to belong to more than one species, now called features. Under the popular Bernoulli product model for feature allocation, given $n$ samples, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Fadhel Ayed , Marco Battiston , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

This paper focuses on the size-biased permutation of $n$ independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) positive random variables. This is a finite dimensional analogue of the size-biased permutation of ranked jumps of a subordinator…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Jim Pitman , Ngoc M. Tran

In a spiked population model, the population covariance matrix has all its eigenvalues equal to units except for a few fixed eigenvalues (spikes). Determining the number of spikes is a fundamental problem which appears in many scientific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-18 Damien Passemier , Jian-Feng Yao

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Using a sample from a population to estimate the proportion of the population with a certain category label is a broadly important problem. In the context of microbiome studies, this problem arises when researchers wish to use a sample from…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Bryan D. Martin , Daniela Witten , Amy D. Willis

Random partition models are widely used in Bayesian methods for various clustering tasks, such as mixture models, topic models, and community detection problems. While the number of clusters induced by random partition models has been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Changwoo J. Lee , Huiyan Sang

Conditional identity in distribution (Berti et al. (2004)) is a new type of dependence for random variables, which generalizes the well-known notion of exchangeability. In this paper, a class of random sequences, called Generalized Species…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-18 Federico Bassetti , Irene Crimaldi , Fabrizio Leisen

Occupancy models are frequently used by ecologists to quantify spatial variation in species distributions while accounting for observational biases in the collection of detection-nondetection data. However, the common assumption that a…

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a Gaussian distribution when samples are only shown if they fall in some (unknown) subset $S \subseteq \R^d$. This core problem in truncated statistics has long history going back to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Vasilis Kontonis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

We study random composite structures considered up to symmetry that are sampled according to weights on the inner and outer structures. This model may be viewed as an unlabelled version of Gibbs partitions and encompasses multisets of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Benedikt Stufler

A Bayesian nonparametric method of James, Lijoi \& Prunster (2009) used to predict future values of observations from normalized random measures with independent increments is modified to a class of models based on negative binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Robert C. Griffiths , Ross A. Maller , Soudabeh Shemehsavar

The Ewens-Pitman sampling model (EP-SM) is a distribution for random partitions of the set $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with $n\in\mathbb{N}$, which is index by real parameters $\alpha$ and $\theta$ such that either $\alpha\in[0,1)$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

Consider N equally-spaced points on a circle of circumference N. Choose at random n points out of $N$ on this circle and append clockwise an arc of integral length k to each such point. The resulting random set is made of a random number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Thierry Huillet

The paper concerns the classical occupancy scheme with infinitely many boxes. We establish approximations to the distributions of the number of occupied boxes, and of the number of boxes containing exactly r balls, within the family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 A. D. Barbour

A frequent challenge encountered with compositional ecological data is how to interpret and model data with a high proportion of zeros and $N$'s. Such data frequently occur in ecological applications where counts of species are collected…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 James Sweeney , John Haslett , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Michael Fop , Andrew C. Parnell

We study a model of spatial random permutations over a discrete set of points. Formally, a permutation $\sigma$ is sampled proportionally to the weight $\exp\{-\alpha \sum_x V(\sigma(x)-x)\},$ where $\alpha>0$ is the temperature and $V$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Inés Armendáriz , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nicolás Frevenza

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

Understanding the conditions ensuring the persistence of a population is an issue of primary importance in population biology. The first theoretical approach to the problem dates back to the 50's with the KiSS (after Kierstead, Slobodkin…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani