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We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric classification model that combines a Gaussian process prior for the latent function with a Dirichlet process prior for the link function, extending the interpretative framework of de Finetti…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Marcio Alves Diniz

Neural additive models (NAMs) enhance the transparency of deep neural networks by handling input features in separate additive sub-networks. However, they lack inherent mechanisms that provide calibrated uncertainties and enable selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Kouroche Bouchiat , Alexander Immer , Hugo Yèche , Gunnar Rätsch , Vincent Fortuin

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

The predictive Bayesian view involves eliciting a sequence of one-step-ahead predictive distributions in lieu of specifying a likelihood function and prior distribution. Recent methods have leveraged predictive distributions which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Yiu Yin Yung , Stephen M. S. Lee , Edwin Fong

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

We introduce semiparametric Bayesian networks that combine parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Their aim is to incorporate the advantages of both components: the bounded complexity of parametric models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 David Atienza , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

In this paper, utilizing recent theoretical results in high dimensional statistical modeling, we propose a model-free yet computationally simple approach to estimate the partially linear model $Y=X\beta+g(Z)+\varepsilon$. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-13 Xia Cui , Ying Lu , Heng Peng

This paper proposes a maximum-likelihood approach to jointly estimate marginal conditional quantiles of multivariate response variables in a linear regression framework. We consider a slight reparameterization of the Multivariate Asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Lea Petrella , Valentina Raponi

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Deep learning has enjoyed tremendous success in a variety of applications but its application to quantile regressions remains scarce. A major advantage of the deep learning approach is its flexibility to model complex data in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Qixian Zhong , Jane-Ling Wang

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We present a novel Bayesian nonparametric regression model for covariates X and continuous, real response variable Y. The model is parametrized in terms of marginal distributions for Y and X and a regression function which tunes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 Tristan Gray-Davies , Chris Holmes , Francois Caron

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

We present a novel Bayesian spatial disaggregation model for count data, providing fast and flexible inference at high resolution. First, it incorporates non-linear covariate effects using penalized splines, a flexible approach that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Christel Faes

State-space models are pivotal for dynamic system analysis but often struggle with outlier data that deviates from Gaussian distributions, frequently exhibiting skewness and heavy tails. This paper introduces a robust extension utilizing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-31 Yifan Yu , Shengjie Xiu , Daniel P. Palomar

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

There is increasing interest in learning how human brain networks vary as a function of a continuous trait, but flexible and efficient procedures to accomplish this goal are limited. We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Lu Wang , Daniele Durante , Rex E. Jung , David B. Dunson

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

The Bayesian paradigm has the potential to solve core issues of deep neural networks such as poor calibration and data inefficiency. Alas, scaling Bayesian inference to large weight spaces often requires restrictive approximations. In this…

Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim
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